Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 188.92 | $0.529 | $148.31 | +$48.31 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | 22h ago |
 |
| No |
| 141.29 |
| $0.725 |
| $129.28 |
| +$26.9 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 128.21 | $0.780 | $125.96 | +$25.96 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 119.05 | $0.840 | $118.04 | +$18.04 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 126.58 | $0.790 | $117.09 | +$17.09 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | No | 125 | $0.800 | $105.63 | +$5.63 |
 Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | Yes | 124.62 | $0.802 | $102.81 | +$2.81 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | Yes | 112.36 | $0.890 | $102.25 | +$2.25 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 119.29 | $0.838 | $100.8 | +$0.8 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 114.94 | $0.870 | $99.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | No | 116.28 | $0.860 | $99.42 | -$0.58 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 112.36 | $0.890 | $98.31 | -$1.69 |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | No | 118.66 | $0.843 | $94.93 | -$5.07 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 137.66 | $0.726 | $94.3 | -$5.7 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 110.39 | $0.906 | $87.76 | -$12.24 |
 Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | Yes | 84 | $0.595 | $81.98 | +$31.98 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 105.19 | $0.770 | $81.53 | +$0.53 |
| buy |
| 118.66 |
| $0.843 |
| $100 |
| 22h ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 137.66 | $0.726 | $100 | 22h ago |
| Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?Yes | buy | 124.62 | $0.802 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 119.29 | $0.838 | $100 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 105.19 | $0.770 | $81 | 15d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 110.39 | $0.906 | $100 | 15d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | 15d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 126.31 | $0.792 | $100 | 15d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.790 | $100 | 15d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing | sell | 121.32 | $0.981 | $119.02 | 15d ago |
 Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.881 | $99 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 138.51 | $0.920 | $127.43 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 140.58 | $0.711 | $100 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 141.29 | $0.725 | $102.38 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing | buy | 121.33 | $0.824 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?No | buy | 111.37 | $0.898 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 188.92 | $0.529 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.595 | $50 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 139.72 | $0.716 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 125.44 | $0.797 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 139.16 | $0.999 | $139.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 76 | $0.360 | $27.36 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under | sell | 88.88 | $0.472 | $42 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under | buy | 88.89 | $0.112 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under | sell | 58.43 | $0.600 | $35.06 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 58.44 | $0.537 | $31.41 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 101.02 | $0.350 | $35.36 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia | buy | 90.16 | $0.610 | $55 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt | buy | 34.78 | $0.230 | $8 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 28.3 | $0.530 | $15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States | buy | 22.64 | $0.530 | $12 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Under | sell | 27.9 | $0.880 | $24.55 | Jul 5, 2026 |