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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | No | 98.5 | $0.406 | $42.85 | +$2.85 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 14.28 | $0.650 | $9.28 | Mar 11, 2026 |
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| No |
| 21.25 |
| $0.880 |
| $20.88 |
| +$2.18 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.78 | $0.900 | $20.36 | +$0.76 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 18.67 | $0.669 | $17.46 | +$4.97 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 13.73 | $0.849 | $13.21 | +$1.55 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 13.68 | $0.913 | $13.15 | +$0.66 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 14.77 | $0.819 | $11.79 | -$0.31 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.84 | +$0.84 |
| buy |
| 13.73 |
| $0.849 |
| $11.66 |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 18.67 | $0.669 | $12.49 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 13.68 | $0.913 | $12.49 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No | sell | 10.64 | $0.896 | $9.54 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?Yes | buy | 13.63 | $0.616 | $8.4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.864 | $9.2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 39.26 | $0.270 | $10.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 14.77 | $0.819 | $12.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 13.82 | $0.890 | $12.3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes | buy | 34.1 | $0.390 | $13.3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.65 | $0.510 | $14.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 31.67 | $0.540 | $17.1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.810 | $17.8 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?No | buy | 51.58 | $0.363 | $18.7 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 21.25 | $0.880 | $18.7 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?No | buy | 45.73 | $0.429 | $19.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 26.85 | $0.730 | $19.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.78 | $0.900 | $19.6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 207.51 | $0.096 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 58.55 | $0.342 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?Yes | buy | 119.97 | $0.167 | $20 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?No | buy | 211.47 | $0.095 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Successful Houthi attack on shipping by October 15?Yes | buy | 482.88 | $0.041 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Selena Gomez married in 2025?No | buy | 172.81 | $0.116 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?No | buy | 776.62 | $0.026 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 138.78 | $0.216 | $30 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?Yes | buy | 201.34 | $0.149 | $30 | Jul 26, 2025 |
25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Novak Djokovic win a Major in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?No | buy | 248.15 | $0.081 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Yes | buy | 645.48 | $0.031 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?Yes | buy | 425.53 | $0.047 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 495.09 | $0.040 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Baldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?Yes | sell | 158.33 | $0.465 | $73.55 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Baldoni x Lively lawsuit dismissed before July?Yes | buy | 158.33 | $0.120 | $19 | Jun 14, 2025 |
1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?No | buy | 308.15 | $0.065 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.011 | $20 | Jun 14, 2025 |