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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.800 | $11.69 | +$1.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.600 | $6.67 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 15.87 |
| $0.630 |
| $9.92 |
| -$0.08 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $9.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 11.49 | $0.870 | $9.71 | -$0.29 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $9.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17.54 | $0.570 | $9.21 | -$0.79 |
| sell |
| 13.33 |
| $0.560 |
| $7.46 |
| 1h ago |
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBen Shelton | sell | 19.6 | $0.390 | $7.64 | 7h ago |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBen Shelton | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | 12h ago |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | 14h ago |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 4.77 | $0.984 | $4.69 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.983 | $0.11 | 1d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.983 | $1.31 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 3d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.982 | $2.16 | 3d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.982 | $0.02 | 3d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.983 | $0.58 | 4d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 0.55 | $0.983 | $0.54 | 5d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.400 | $7.84 | 5d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.982 | $1.4 | 6d ago |
 Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | sell | 8.93 | $0.720 | $6.43 | 7d ago |
| Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.830 | $7.41 | 7d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 6.95 | $0.881 | $6.12 | 9d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.75 | $0.881 | $4.18 | 9d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.972 | $11.43 | 9d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 17.24 | $0.550 | $9.48 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | 11d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 13d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.15 | $0.670 | $2.11 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.670 | $0.76 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.670 | $0.19 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.97 | $0.670 | $0.65 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.15 | $0.670 | $2.78 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 6.43 | $0.670 | $4.31 | 14d ago |
 Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 11.76 | $0.995 | $11.7 | 18d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.650 | $7.92 | 19d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.71 | $0.854 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | 20d ago |
 Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.515 | $5.15 | 21d ago |
| Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.785 | $7.85 | 21d ago |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | 24d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.140 | $7.37 | 28d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | 29d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | 29d ago |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.425 | $8.02 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.350 | $6.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?Yes | sell | 29.15 | $0.261 | $7.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.278 | $5.91 | Aug 6, 2026 |