Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

economyActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

0.1%

100.0%

Yes costs 0.05¢No costs 99.95¢

24h Volume

$4.0K

Total volume

$5.3M

Liquidity

$496.7K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Topic roomFed and FOMC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.01M	0.0%	$0
JustCrazy	Yes	241.53K	0.1%	$241.53	Aug 18, 12:08 PM UTC
YasZoso	Yes	144.81K	0.2%	$289.49
alwayslatetotheparty	Yes	59.1K	7.7%	$4.55K
Joebama	Yes	45K	0.7%	$326.88
betterfasterstronger	Yes	40.53K	7.7%	$3.12K
xvsp	Yes	29.37K	0.5%	$162.2
jpmpower	Yes	28K	0.1%	$31.05	Oct 27, 9:47 PM UTC
Trim-Caution	Yes	25.88K	0.3%	$78.48
zenosnl11	Yes	25K	0.3%	$74.99
Dead-Hint	Yes	24.62K	0.4%	$98.48
Anchored-Editor	Yes	23.87K	0.3%	$63.81
cigarettes	Yes	19.06K	7.7%	$1.46K
rainbowlilies	Yes	15.87K	1.1%	$173.14	Aug 18, 5:27 AM UTC
WarriorH	Yes	15.8K	6.4%	$1.01K
zdenek1	Yes	15.5K	0.1%	$19.18	Oct 7, 5:39 PM UTC
Quiet Signal 0729	Yes	13.26K	0.1%	$13.25	Oct 20, 6:22 AM UTC
zenosnl	Yes	11.79K	0.3%	$35.37
e46m3	Yes	11.54K	7.7%	$887.37	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
bluescluez	Yes	11.26K	2.9%	$328.71
tmyk	Yes	10.02K	0.5%	$50.08
Brisk-Binoculars	Yes	10K	0.1%	$9.99	Oct 16, 6:09 PM UTC
Robust-Everybody	Yes	8.59K	0.9%	$79.98
hqzxbktmrawplhncxfgdjyvsoeuikmtb	Yes	8.33K	2.3%	$188.51
haseebahmad40	Yes	7.56K	0.1%	$7.55	Oct 18, 4:10 PM UTC
donthackme	Yes	7.51K	7.7%	$577.94	Aug 14, 5:49 PM UTC
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	7.21K	7.7%	$554.22
HerrieDavis	Yes	7.03K	7.7%	$540.76
qwen300.fund	Yes	6.45K	7.7%	$496.17	Aug 17, 11:58 PM UTC
Hourglass	Yes	5.38K	7.7%	$413.83	Aug 14, 5:49 PM UTC
purplegatto	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	Oct 21, 7:51 AM UTC
Jade Quasar D7A7	Yes	4.58K	6.6%	$302.3
balthazar	Yes	4.44K	7.7%	$341.52	Aug 14, 5:49 PM UTC
ColorRabbit	Yes	3.67K	0.3%	$11
Admirable-Trust	Yes	3.64K	7.7%	$280.31	Aug 14, 5:50 PM UTC
subzero	Yes	3.47K	0.3%	$8.91
nofreelunch	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
Lingo66	Yes	3.3K	0.1%	$3.3	Sep 22, 1:41 PM UTC
puipui2486	Yes	3.14K	7.7%	$241.15
Miserly-Earrings	Yes	2.94K	0.3%	$10
Flamboyant-Warming	Yes	2.9K	1.7%	$48.41
WolfCharge	Yes	2.89K	0.2%	$6.87	Aug 17, 2:57 PM UTC
xlefgerx	Yes	2.7K	0.4%	$10.07
houseru	Yes	2.59K	0.6%	$15.56
Lucerys	Yes	2.38K	7.7%	$183.31
Cobalt Atlas A4C2	Yes	2.36K	7.7%	$181.44	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
Prickly-Eyrie	Yes	2.06K	0.7%	$14.76
IP1380	Yes	2K	0.1%	$3
Priadka	Yes	2K	0.5%	$10.99
ACara	Yes	2K	0.3%	$6.97
haruk098	Yes	1.91K	0.3%	$5.99
aenews1	Yes	1.76K	1.5%	$27.24
gogouno	Yes	1.67K	0.3%	$5
Logan.	Yes	1.58K	0.0%	$0
Coral Orbit E8E5	Yes	1.5K	0.1%	$1.5	Oct 27, 3:38 AM UTC
kneelbeforetheking	Yes	1.5K	7.7%	$115.38
Poiuztrewq	Yes	1.5K	1.6%	$23.5
Siziriv	Yes	1.48K	4.2%	$61.86
Labas.As.Tomas	Yes	1.48K	0.6%	$9.06
Feisty-Orientation	Yes	1.42K	0.7%	$10.57
avengers2357avengers	Yes	1.37K	7.8%	$106.61
pestanimal	Yes	1.3K	4.2%	$54.17
.0.	Yes	1.3K	0.7%	$8.79
Haradwaith	Yes	1.26K	8.2%	$103.97
ViVeViSfy	Yes	1.25K	0.1%	$1.25	Sep 10, 7:40 AM UTC
No-risk-no-bisc	Yes	1.25K	0.4%	$5
2B9S	Yes	1.25K	0.2%	$2.9
rocky42022	Yes	1.25K	1.2%	$14.57
peepeepooppoop	Yes	1.21K	7.7%	$93.04
korda77	Yes	1.2K	7.7%	$92.23	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
nryy	Yes	1.19K	0.3%	$4.09
merod	Yes	1.04K	7.7%	$79.69	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
69dsfs	Yes	1.01K	0.1%	$1.01
norealtime	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Big-Dash-Bongo	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Ivory Tide A3D5	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Aug 28, 8:34 AM UTC
Dubstep12	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Aug 23, 8:59 PM UTC
JupSon	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Sep 1, 12:29 PM UTC
YesVolume	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Sep 19, 4:25 AM UTC
Lyka2.718281	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Oct 23, 9:22 PM UTC
labistiiia	Yes	999.96	0.1%	$1
Anne666	Yes	999.93	0.1%	$1
GingerMcKenna	Yes	800.85	7.8%	$62.01
tamalaile	Yes	800	0.2%	$1.6
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	773.66	0.2%	$1.8
FlashTradeOracle	Yes	666.68	0.3%	$2
Poor-Sentencing	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Boberts1	Yes	662.07	0.8%	$5
Deez4U	Yes	625	0.4%	$2.5
planktonXD	Yes	603.37	2.0%	$12.35
Jade Horizon 2B6D	Yes	600	0.4%	$2.4
Reliable-Default	Yes	600	0.5%	$3
pleasedontstopthemusic	Yes	556.51	7.7%	$42.81
mustbethewater	Yes	540	7.7%	$41.54	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
Jesuschristsuperstar	Yes	500.54	0.5%	$2.5
Gorea	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
god83743894	Yes	430.74	7.7%	$33.15
SPLPB	Yes	414.18	7.7%	$31.86
Swift Summit 5E45	Yes	411.5	0.3%	$1.25
smallreceipt	Yes	409.85	7.6%	$31.36
northdrawer	Yes	401.66	7.7%	$30.82	Aug 16, 7:10 PM UTC
mildwindow27	Yes	390.96	7.5%	$29.37
Azure Pioneer 4503	Yes	384.61	1.3%	$5
Jovial-Remains-Scarf	Yes	380.4	7.7%	$29.26
godblessme2026	Yes	366.85	7.7%	$28.13
Ardtysrt01	Yes	334.01	0.3%	$1
Xoaimit	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Bare-Effective	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Ruxpin84	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Jade Summit 0A53	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
greasytaco	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Strange-Limit	Yes	333.33	0.6%	$2
TravelerJeff	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Kittenluo	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
LornaPredicts	Yes	332.49	4.4%	$14.59
fruity1	Yes	312.5	3.2%	$10
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	299.99	0.0%	$0
yasian	Yes	296.25	0.3%	$1
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	291	7.7%	$22.38
Homely-Decoration	Yes	290.99	1.7%	$5
BAWANGMAO	Yes	290	0.3%	$0.87
aHjCz	Yes	289.85	7.7%	$22.3	Aug 14, 5:51 PM UTC
6698sxa	Yes	285.71	0.7%	$2
Terrific-Lover	Yes	285.71	0.7%	$2
olibillions	Yes	283.59	0.6%	$1.7
VictorLudorum	Yes	275	7.7%	$21.15	Aug 16, 7:47 PM UTC
Mustafasamer	Yes	265	0.4%	$1
JesusPsych	Yes	260.48	0.4%	$1
dsfd3	Yes	260	0.1%	$0.26	Sep 16, 7:46 PM UTC
Kindly-Loggia	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Swift Comet D09D	Yes	250	0.6%	$1.5
tradguy	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
siwhitne	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
poposub	Yes	242.01	7.4%	$17.75
Tee1000	Yes	240.65	5.7%	$13.74
Jade Maven 34B8	Yes	240	4.2%	$10
graynotebook19	Yes	227.71	7.5%	$17.16	Aug 14, 5:49 PM UTC
KickstandBot	Yes	210	4.3%	$9.03
xiaoaojiang	Yes	205	0.2%	$0.41
cwc909	Yes	200	4.2%	$8.33
Griffin716	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Hilton9998	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
PencilSharpener	Yes	200	1.0%	$2
Watery-Usage	Yes	200	0.3%	$0.6
snic	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
cloudyartifact	Yes	180	7.7%	$13.85
FlashTradeOracleTester	Yes	177.34	0.0%	$0
123987456	Yes	176.65	7.7%	$13.59
Exciting-Bacon	Yes	172.25	0.6%	$1
meimeisal	Yes	170	0.6%	$1.02
Neon Summit 18A1	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
LesterDiamond	Yes	150.27	7.1%	$10.6
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150	0.1%	$0.15
avrtshjf	No	149.3	99.8%	$149
Long-Piglet	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
38791873984189	Yes	133	7.7%	$10.23
cryingbabydicer87	Yes	130	7.7%	$10
Muted-Flipflops	Yes	125	0.8%	$1
kunsect77	Yes	119.75	7.7%	$9.21
quietparcel	Yes	116.41	7.5%	$8.69	Aug 17, 3:46 AM UTC
JoE	Yes	112.34	7.7%	$8.64
MoneyManLim	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Saracens7	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	107.8	0.0%	$0
Biver52	Yes	100.01	0.3%	$0.3
akunai	Yes	100.01	0.2%	$0.2
ma99	Yes	100.01	0.2%	$0.2
BSS37	Yes	100.01	0.2%	$0.2
Conscious-Content	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
fm14	Yes	100	0.2%	$0.2
Dr.Sharif	Yes	100	0.2%	$0.2
AheadArbitrage	Yes	100	0.2%	$0.2
wilhelmeister06	Yes	100	0.4%	$0.4
plainfolder	Yes	96.43	7.8%	$7.52
Worthwhile-Refuge	Yes	90.91	1.1%	$1
Ahmedzx051	Yes	86.64	0.5%	$0.43
fang1957	Yes	80	0.2%	$0.16
erewreqq	No	78.16	99.8%	$78
Rubic007	Yes	76.28	0.4%	$0.28
tddddy	No	76.15	99.8%	$76
LumenThrenodyO	No	76.15	99.8%	$76
WhisperOfTheFadingAurora	No	75.15	99.8%	$75
sauyahshsss	No	75.15	99.8%	$75
sdswfwesf	No	73.15	99.8%	$73
SERfgawe4frweD	No	71.14	99.8%	$71
sjdfvjs	No	70.14	99.8%	$70
Rubyzlli	No	62.12	99.8%	$62
jennylulu2016	Yes	62	4.2%	$2.58
lissartter	Yes	60	2.0%	$1.2
capetsa	Yes	60	0.0%	$0
jsdyvgfjuyewsf	No	59.12	99.8%	$59
ewfuwekfw	No	55.11	99.8%	$55
FutureTech	Yes	55	0.3%	$0.17
ghorrock	Yes	53	7.7%	$4.08
Safe-Foot	Yes	52.63	1.9%	$1
sdedeee	No	52.1	99.8%	$52
gtsdefewrf	No	51.1	99.8%	$51
sakuedfgkuas	No	48.1	99.8%	$48
yefduewfdew	No	47.09	99.8%	$47
udwhkw	No	43.09	99.8%	$43
ereeeerrt	No	43.09	99.8%	$43
tn1	Yes	43	0.6%	$0.26
kandinsky	Yes	41.67	2.4%	$1
baosan	No	40.18	99.5%	$40
LBZbot2	Yes	40	0.3%	$0.12
quidy	Yes	37.16	0.0%	$0
Jade Quasar D7A7	No	36.94	95.5%	$35.26
swedfawerf	No	36.07	99.8%	$36
fjhrtjr888	No	35.28	99.2%	$35
facaije888	No	35.18	99.5%	$35
SFRDgvergsdvf	No	35.07	99.8%	$35
kongzhong	No	33.17	99.5%	$33
wangjingjing	No	33.17	99.5%	$33
chenwencong	No	33.17	99.5%	$33
bullgeli	No	30.15	99.5%	$30
franker6	No	30.15	99.5%	$30
letmecookibegyou	Yes	29.05	0.0%	$0
zhoushouzi	No	28.25	99.1%	$28
Bold Lynx E11B	Yes	27.36	0.3%	$0.08
se1lx1juxwgd87u	No	27.03	99.9%	$27
peiqi	No	26.1	99.6%	$26
Sterlink	No	25.3	99.8%	$25.25
musk668	No	25.1	99.6%	$25
kaers	No	25.1	99.6%	$25
JordanMooney	Yes	25.03	6.6%	$1.65
Rapid Falcon 3E2E	Yes	25	4.2%	$1.04
HappyHippocampus	Yes	25	0.1%	$0.03
jiajingwen	No	23.09	99.6%	$23
baiduge6	No	22.09	99.6%	$22
twiich	No	22	99.9%	$21.98
ruyidong	No	20.08	99.6%	$20
mocahmeimei	No	20.08	99.6%	$20
Spiteful-Kite	No	20	99.4%	$19.88
k1tten	Yes	20	0.0%	$0
vlospa	Yes	20	0.1%	$0.02	Oct 1, 12:51 PM UTC
dfch	Yes	20	0.2%	$0.04
TurtleFlair	Yes	20	7.7%	$1.54
ghfvhj	Yes	20	0.2%	$0.04
shaolin	No	18	99.8%	$17.96
OmaJane	Yes	18	0.0%	$0
pd.unique	Yes	16.33	7.7%	$1.26
jensond	Yes	16.12	0.0%	$0
QuantumWitch	No	15.61	99.8%	$15.58
Ivory Tide C023	Yes	15	1.1%	$0.16
Boonk	No	13.2	98.5%	$13
richmond1	Yes	12	11.4%	$1.37
yu029	No	11.75	99.8%	$11.73
Irik	No	11.14	99.7%	$11.11
gamblingbling	Yes	11	3.3%	$0.36
fernj	Yes	10.1	0.5%	$0.05
5467	No	10.04	99.6%	$10
chalice1	No	10.02	99.8%	$10
babyalgo	Yes	10	4.2%	$0.42
Genuine-Vintage	Yes	10	0.1%	$0.02
LeechLord	Yes	10	0.8%	$0.08
quiddy	No	9.98	99.8%	$9.96
LiamSchmidt176	No	8.41	99.9%	$8.4
PaulDuncan932	No	8.41	99.9%	$8.4
wankerjoesleeper	Yes	8.37	0.0%	$0
itsjustcheddar	No	7.91	98.3%	$7.78
products	No	7.23	99.8%	$7.09
Wenkie3	No	7.01	99.8%	$7
74FGH567FG567FG56	No	7.01	99.8%	$7
Mesea	No	7	99.8%	$6.99
twopac	No	6	99.8%	$5.99
xiaoff	Yes	6	4.2%	$0.25
mapleggg	Yes	6	7.7%	$0.46
Sleepy-Cactus	Yes	6	0.1%	$0.01
TurnerEric	No	5.7	99.7%	$5.68
Ispanez	Yes	5.62	0.4%	$0.02
shine	Yes	5.23	7.1%	$0.37
kokelin	No	5.01	99.8%	$5
asddd119	No	5.01	99.8%	$5
Evador	Yes	5.01	0.5%	$0.03
MdShohe63118243	No	5.01	99.9%	$5
health2025	No	5.01	99.9%	$5
Ivory Meteor 0BDA	Yes	5	0.4%	$0.02
denso	Yes	5	4.2%	$0.21
Azure Horizon 09E9	Yes	5	0.5%	$0.03
vitalikbt	Yes	5	0.2%	$0.01
InfiniteMoneyGlitchBot	Yes	5	7.6%	$0.38
CarlMartinez496	No	4.8	99.9%	$4.8	Aug 14, 9:18 PM UTC
DylanSimpson658	No	4.2	99.9%	$4.2
bgnhjyuty	No	4.06	98.5%	$4
asfdt13	No	4	99.9%	$4
untaken	Yes	3.71	0.0%	$0
Narrow-Den	No	3.19	99.7%	$3.18
jowitriviani	No	3.01	99.8%	$3
Charles5098	No	2.7	99.9%	$2.7
Eliana3965	No	2.5	99.9%	$2.5
Michellwal	No	2.22	99.9%	$2.22
oavgar	No	2.02	99.2%	$2
Mitherandir	No	2.01	99.6%	$2
purpledream	Yes	2	7.7%	$0.15
animal.bean	Yes	1.68	4.2%	$0.07
Juvvexo	No	1.56	99.9%	$1.56
Tillerosto	No	1.5	99.9%	$1.5
Kedl	No	1.46	99.7%	$1.46
romanlore	No	1.43	99.7%	$1.43
eUWH	No	1.37	99.7%	$1.36
starlive	No	1.26	99.7%	$1.26
lbeast	No	1.2	99.9%	$1.2
Shroud	No	1.1	99.8%	$1.1
pmbull	No	1.07	99.1%	$1.06
BuyTheDip007	Yes	1.02	7.7%	$0.08
repsol	No	1.01	99.0%	$1
cszczx	No	1.01	99.4%	$1
belong	No	1.01	99.5%	$1
FrancisHenderson481	No	1.01	99.9%	$1	Aug 14, 9:57 AM UTC
C48MIUT	No	1	99.8%	$1
abgt654	No	1	99.6%	$1
mrgoated	No	1	99.7%	$1
C46NEXT	No	1	99.7%	$1
Azure Quasar BBFA	No	1	99.8%	$1
Azure Atlas B5FF	No	1	99.8%	$1
tiporol	No	1	99.9%	$1
xyk09	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
Meek-Board	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk05	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk06	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk122	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk02.	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xyk03	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
xiyankai1	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
Dependent-Convention	Yes	0.99	0.2%	$0
vr2026	No	0.99	99.8%	$0.99
VictoriaCamacho6492	No	0.98	99.5%	$0.98
kiogfd	No	0.96	99.8%	$0.96
mygogogo	Yes	0.92	0.3%	$0
0xEC6AD6AEAA9394	Yes	0.87	0.2%	$0
Lunar Tide 00C3	Yes	0.72	0.0%	$0
EdwardLewis	Yes	0.58	7.3%	$0.04
wdawf241	No	0.56	99.9%	$0.56
rated	No	0.45	99.6%	$0.44
Limping-Baggie-Technique	No	0.41	99.9%	$0.41
R23poyrffsddfdsfd43554	Yes	0.18	0.4%	$0
gugigu	No	0.13	99.8%	$0.13
hklcrypt	No	0.1	99.9%	$0.1	Aug 18, 9:17 AM UTC

338 of 338 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.01M
avrtshjf	$149.22
JustCrazy	$120.77

Topic room

Read this market in context

Fed and FOMC oddsWhat will the Fed do at its next meeting?

What to watch in Fed and FOMC

Inflation and jobs releases between meetings
Speeches and testimony by the chair and voting members
The statement, projections and press conference at each meeting

Upcoming in this topic

28 Oct 2026FOMC decision (meeting 27–28 October)
9 Dec 2026FOMC decision and projections (meeting 8–9 December)

Research behind the numbers

Analytics