Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 5.55 | $0.880 | $5.4 | +$0.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 0.94 | $0.954 | $0.9 | Jul 14, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 4.98 |
| $0.830 |
| $4.8 |
| +$0.67 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 4.85 | $0.252 | $4.53 | +$3.31 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 3.95 | $0.766 | $3.4 | +$0.37 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 3.29 | $0.920 | $3.24 | +$0.21 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 2.13 | $0.947 | $2.08 | +$0.06 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.71 | $0.590 | $1.6 | +$0.59 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | No | 1.67 | $0.162 | $1.54 | +$1.27 |
 Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027? | No | 1.38 | $0.730 | $1.29 | +$0.28 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027? | No | 1.13 | $0.890 | $1.12 | +$0.11 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.13 | $0.890 | $1.09 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.09 | $0.930 | $1.07 | +$0.06 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.910 | $1.06 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.08 | $0.938 | $1.04 | +$0.03 |
 Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | No | 0.71 | $0.880 | $0.65 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 0.49 | $0.754 | $0.48 | +$0.11 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 39.16 | $0.020 | $0.37 | -$0.41 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 0.37 | $0.567 | $0.36 | +$0.15 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 3.61 | $0.280 | $0.27 | -$0.74 |
 Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 411.5 | $0.003 | $0.21 | -$1.05 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 51.61 | $0.017 | $0.08 | -$0.8 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 0.89 | $0.072 | $0.05 | -$0.02 |
| sell |
| 0.14 |
| $0.948 |
| $0.13 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 18.03 | $0.055 | $0.99 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.997 | $1.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16?Yes | buy | 9.64 | $0.138 | $1.33 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16?Yes | buy | 9.69 | $0.131 | $1.27 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.510 | $1.08 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?Yes | buy | 4.66 | $0.425 | $1.98 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5?Yes | buy | 21.84 | $0.309 | $6.75 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.983 | $1.1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.01 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.950 | $1.09 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.900 | $2.35 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?No | buy | 18.84 | $0.069 | $1.3 | May 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.26 | $0.440 | $0.99 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.450 | $1.01 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.860 | $1.29 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.870 | $1.29 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.430 | $0.29 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.67 | $0.430 | $0.29 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.430 | $0.13 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.430 | $0.13 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.430 | $0.13 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.440 | $1.01 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 55.09 | $0.071 | $3.91 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.59 | $0.450 | $2.07 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.31 | $0.390 | $0.12 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.400 | $1.01 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.390 | $0.57 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.390 | $0.23 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.6 | $0.390 | $0.23 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.59 | $0.390 | $1.01 | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.410 | $1.01 | May 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.921 | $0.99 | May 20, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.950 | $1.02 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.968 | $1.01 | May 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | May 13, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.930 | $1.01 | May 13, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.940 | $1.01 | May 13, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.976 | $1.01 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 18.04 | $0.056 | $1.01 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 14.64 | $0.215 | $3.15 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.64 | $0.978 | $3.56 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.978 | $0.09 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.978 | $0.14 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.979 | $1.01 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.979 | $1.01 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.979 | $1.01 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.979 | $1.01 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.979 | $1.01 | May 11, 2026 |