US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Name: US strike on Cuba by March 31? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

politicsResolved

No, settled Apr 3, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.6M

Resolved

Settled

Apr 3, 2026 UTC

Topic roomCuba and the region

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Spectacular-Paw	Yes	14.21K	6.0%	$857.18
AABBBAAAA	Yes	9.75K	5.8%	$568.6
jc138	Yes	9.69K	5.0%	$484.4
cafar1	Yes	7.89K	2.0%	$157
Abebiano	Yes	7.7K	4.8%	$366.32
jesse.n533n	Yes	7.16K	2.7%	$194.98	Mar 28, 12:29 AM UTC
AlexCimmeria	Yes	6.9K	7.4%	$513.97
OkaneKasegu	Yes	6.62K	6.4%	$423.37
Diligent-Colon	Yes	6.06K	1.6%	$99	Mar 27, 11:18 PM UTC
Orange-Walking	Yes	5.94K	2.4%	$140
zoLCa	Yes	5.92K	0.3%	$17.75	Mar 31, 9:10 AM UTC
goaliman12	Yes	5.34K	7.1%	$380.82
Glistening-Ecology	Yes	5.09K	1.7%	$85	Mar 28, 8:13 PM UTC
Lasterrenas	Yes	4.94K	4.7%	$230
amused85	Yes	4.39K	13.0%	$570.19
skimavium	Yes	4.18K	1.5%	$61.32	Mar 28, 12:16 PM UTC
Pnpnpnpn	Yes	4.11K	3.6%	$150
Little-Achiever	Yes	4.01K	5.0%	$200
sanalid	Yes	3.93K	11.0%	$432.74
boydcurry	Yes	3.83K	6.4%	$244.5
Madrileno99	Yes	3.76K	8.0%	$299.99
xisal	Yes	3.65K	6.6%	$240.4
Aglassofwhiskey	Yes	3.38K	2.0%	$69
naxx93	Yes	3.03K	7.0%	$213.19
Kickstand8	Yes	3K	1.7%	$52.41	Mar 30, 10:04 PM UTC
Murky-Abnormality	Yes	2.83K	10.6%	$300
Majestic-Mallet	Yes	2.51K	4.0%	$100
n00btrader	Yes	2.16K	6.9%	$150
Themterminate	Yes	2K	4.9%	$98
Bleak-Jealousy	Yes	1.95K	1.9%	$37.11
Minor-Flan	Yes	1.79K	5.4%	$97
Sniffy	Yes	1.78K	8.2%	$146.26
Prestigious-Cayenne	Yes	1.64K	5.7%	$93.14
DAFdeSade	Yes	1.43K	7.0%	$100
Tekno-La.GeeSyS	Yes	1.42K	7.0%	$100
HarleyFF	Yes	1.35K	2.4%	$31.93
Money4me	Yes	1.25K	8.0%	$100
Kidnapper	Yes	1.24K	8.0%	$99
for-the-lulz	Yes	1.13K	7.5%	$85
dois3	Yes	1.1K	4.6%	$51.21
curare	Yes	1.1K	18.2%	$200
peronbatata	Yes	1.1K	1.9%	$20.45	Mar 30, 5:51 AM UTC
herewe	Yes	1.09K	11.0%	$120
Earnest-Nail	Yes	1.08K	9.2%	$100
ProfitMuhammedPBUH	Yes	1.06K	9.4%	$100
ash.ttt	Yes	1.05K	6.7%	$70
AlbertoBalsalm	Yes	1.04K	6.4%	$66.74
Swaghoven	Yes	1K	7.0%	$70
These-Eurocentrism	Yes	997.92	5.5%	$55
RussianPieSnap	Yes	911.12	5.5%	$50
khy-ri	Yes	899.99	6.4%	$57.41
cobble	Yes	867.6	1.1%	$9.54	Mar 26, 2:58 AM UTC
Keen Signal E2FC	Yes	833.33	6.0%	$50
Intentional-Cane	Yes	833.33	12.0%	$100
unknownl4	Yes	810.69	16.0%	$130
Spirited-Pork	Yes	802.15	1.9%	$15
v1notlost	Yes	800	5.1%	$41.08
ACara	Yes	778.41	1.6%	$12.29	Mar 29, 6:19 AM UTC
Unhealthy-Fig	Yes	775.75	12.9%	$100
Selfish-Embryo	Yes	750.73	13.4%	$100.27
paula0xa	Yes	690.01	3.8%	$26	Mar 31, 5:48 AM UTC
Astonishing-Tachometer	Yes	648.17	10.4%	$67.41
CifruMT	Yes	625	8.0%	$50
liyueboy	Yes	608.33	2.5%	$15
Unlawful-Lawyer	Yes	603.87	7.4%	$45
martin44	Yes	597.13	2.3%	$13.61
kumiao	Yes	573.33	7.5%	$43
BeefDerky	Yes	548.48	6.1%	$33.3
kutaubud	Yes	547.33	9.1%	$50
MareBets	Yes	540.01	18.5%	$100
Violent-Nibble	Yes	531.05	6.6%	$35
turboff46	Yes	530.01	9.8%	$52
KaiserLeave	Yes	509.85	10.0%	$50.99
sindbaddi	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	Mar 31, 2:04 PM UTC
Savage26	No	500	95.0%	$475
twistedmatrices	Yes	499.99	5.8%	$29
Emerald Harbor 995A	Yes	493.31	8.0%	$39.5
Dichti	Yes	463.11	8.6%	$40
Klutzy-Neighbourhood	Yes	425.27	9.4%	$40
Anjun	Yes	420.06	1.5%	$6.3
neutralwave23	Yes	416.92	4.5%	$18.67
vulcan0725	Yes	416.67	1.2%	$5
Zacariaas	Yes	416.67	12.0%	$50
Dismal-Creche	Yes	406.37	1.2%	$5	Mar 26, 11:01 AM UTC
Crushing-Protest	Yes	400	10.0%	$40
throwaway27929	Yes	384.62	1.3%	$5
Bold Orbit F5FB	Yes	382.38	9.2%	$35
Repulsive-Pelican	Yes	370.49	5.4%	$20
Makemoneymoney	Yes	364.09	11.0%	$40
Vicious-Daikon	Yes	362.7	6.9%	$25
4Dvisionary	Yes	357.14	1.4%	$5
Danstradamus	Yes	357.14	2.8%	$10
Reckless-Ecliptic	Yes	333.33	2.4%	$8
Swift Horizon AB84	Yes	333.33	6.0%	$20
Medium-Tempo	Yes	312.5	8.0%	$25
Soho-wins	Yes	305.68	6.5%	$20
Definitive-Crewmen	Yes	302	0.5%	$1.51	Mar 29, 7:52 PM UTC
Rustyrigalson1980	Yes	300.2	6.7%	$20
ChristopherValentine.	Yes	300	5.5%	$16.5
redbull11	Yes	300	10.0%	$30
ganggang777	Yes	285.71	1.4%	$4	Mar 27, 11:17 PM UTC
alexander2000	Yes	285.71	7.0%	$20
Inborn-Checkbook	Yes	250	7.6%	$19.05
Potchopper13	Yes	250	6.0%	$15
wakawaka0249	Yes	249.4	5.9%	$14.71
kroTTinator	Yes	242.45	3.7%	$9
Attached-Lecture	Yes	234.73	5.5%	$13
Loathsome-Fennel	Yes	233.77	0.9%	$2	Mar 29, 1:26 PM UTC
Moist-Lie	Yes	228.68	8.7%	$20
REZA.EK	Yes	225.04	4.4%	$10
WanderGenX	Yes	219.02	6.8%	$15
Whimsical-Tender	Yes	217.35	6.9%	$15
Mahmomar	Yes	214.98	4.7%	$10
Antique-Parenting	Yes	214.29	7.0%	$15
SirK03E63	Yes	203.94	4.9%	$10
eth100	Yes	200	8.3%	$16.54
hkcm	Yes	200	6.3%	$12.58
Urbko	Yes	200	1.8%	$3.6
rip	Yes	200	10.0%	$20
Freemantn	Yes	200	6.3%	$12.6
Occasional-Tilt	Yes	200	10.7%	$21.4
cmpcy	Yes	200	6.1%	$12.28
Instructive-Downstairs	Yes	193.7	5.2%	$10
Sniveling-Ideology	Yes	187.19	5.3%	$10
Functional-Musicmaking	Yes	187.02	7.9%	$14.8
Subtle-Retreat	Yes	183.04	1.6%	$3	Mar 28, 12:08 AM UTC
Tattered-Water	Yes	181.79	2.8%	$5	Mar 28, 12:51 AM UTC
Decisive-Chrysalis	Yes	175.62	4.5%	$8
MadsFrederiksen	Yes	169.58	5.9%	$10
qortz	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1	Mar 30, 12:38 PM UTC
Bold-Project	Yes	161.69	4.9%	$8
Violet Vector B233	Yes	160.12	4.2%	$6.75
Tan-Freezing	Yes	160	2.5%	$4
Unique-Practitioner	Yes	159.09	4.4%	$7
Tired-Clue	Yes	157.14	0.7%	$1.1	Mar 27, 10:02 PM UTC
Elziion	Yes	156.25	6.4%	$10
Rigid-Lover	Yes	156.15	6.4%	$10
kbm05	Yes	154.26	9.7%	$15
erickvioland	Yes	153.85	13.0%	$20
Bright Summit BC52	Yes	151.47	4.6%	$7
timmytommytammy	Yes	147.07	6.8%	$10
DeaconLyon	Yes	142.86	2.1%	$3
Ecstatic-Confusion	Yes	142.86	7.0%	$10
Pure-Giant	Yes	137.93	2.9%	$4
Educated-Autumn	Yes	134.21	7.4%	$10
Edenaaax	Yes	128.21	3.9%	$5
Brainon	Yes	126.74	5.5%	$7
Violet Maven EB95	Yes	125	8.0%	$10
Passionate-Search	Yes	125	8.0%	$10
ro3	Yes	119.72	16.7%	$20
lgps	Yes	119.05	4.2%	$5
Frequent-Sensitive	Yes	117.65	8.5%	$10
Ivory Horizon 961B	Yes	116.86	4.3%	$5
OneZeroEight	Yes	114.94	8.7%	$10
ee5	Yes	114.15	7.6%	$8.66
Polite-Devil	Yes	112.75	8.0%	$9.02
d.says	Yes	112.32	8.9%	$10
McBubu	Yes	111.79	8.9%	$10
AkSAKOVA	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1	Mar 27, 10:58 AM UTC
paulkplayz	Yes	108.77	9.2%	$10
Unknown-Maniac	Yes	107.69	6.5%	$7
Misty Pulse EA31	No	107.53	93.0%	$100
Idontkno	Yes	107.23	10.3%	$11
Rowdy-Collard	Yes	107.14	2.8%	$3
L2_gem	Yes	106.01	2.8%	$3
Sillavoladora456	Yes	105.06	8.6%	$9
SlyRikator	Yes	104.35	11.5%	$12
Crushing-Geography	Yes	102.75	7.8%	$8
forcaster1	Yes	102.5	6.8%	$7
ulfklistersson	Yes	100.58	9.9%	$10
squirtdirty	Yes	100	9.0%	$9
Ideal-Dough	Yes	100	10.0%	$10
Weird-Koala	Yes	100	8.0%	$8
hank99fewj	Yes	100	5.0%	$5
routarauta	Yes	100	10.0%	$10
Bearbeiter	Yes	99.35	1.0%	$1	Mar 26, 3:17 PM UTC
Griffin716	Yes	98.33	5.1%	$5
erggrrr	No	97.24	91.1%	$88.59
DarthTyranus	Yes	94.55	4.2%	$4
Alexm89	Yes	94.34	5.3%	$5
Jade Atlas 0EAA	Yes	89.67	6.0%	$5.38
Nocturnal-Tussle	Yes	89.12	11.2%	$10
thebubster	Yes	88.25	5.7%	$5
tobiasss	Yes	87.97	3.4%	$3
Ornate-Analysis	Yes	86.45	6.9%	$6
KB24KB24	Yes	86.03	11.6%	$10
Both-Masonry	Yes	83.5	4.9%	$4.12
939dd	Yes	83.33	1.2%	$1
pcm73	Yes	83.33	6.0%	$5
Fitting-Caterpillar	Yes	83.33	6.0%	$5
AdolfCrittler	Yes	82.5	9.7%	$8
ijoijojijoi	Yes	81.91	6.1%	$5
-Soto	Yes	79.37	6.3%	$5
blackcutrawtop8in	Yes	78.13	6.4%	$5
Rigid-Relative	Yes	76.92	6.5%	$5
Golden Beacon 01DA	Yes	75.76	6.6%	$5
Lone-Washbasin	Yes	75	8.0%	$6
0x0C28EB	Yes	73.53	6.8%	$5
Multicolored-Shareholder	Yes	72.73	11.0%	$8
yoyo22	Yes	71.7	5.6%	$4
Gizmo66	Yes	71.64	7.0%	$5
constable-font	Yes	71.43	14.0%	$10
Immediate-Helium	Yes	71.4	7.0%	$5
Courteous-Destroyer	Yes	68.33	1.5%	$1	Mar 28, 12:20 PM UTC
lionsmane888	Yes	65.64	11.0%	$7.22
MxRaketa6	Yes	65.43	1.5%	$1	Mar 28, 2:13 AM UTC
benbenbero	Yes	62.5	8.0%	$5
Elaborate-Negotiation	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1	Mar 28, 4:15 AM UTC
Trifling-Chiffonier	Yes	60.01	5.0%	$3
Anchored-Violation	Yes	59.25	1.7%	$1	Mar 28, 3:24 AM UTC
KC-135R	Yes	56.6	5.3%	$3
m-t-	Yes	56.11	8.9%	$5
Mila777	Yes	52.63	19.0%	$10
userbett	Yes	50	6.0%	$3
ShinobiSkill	Yes	50	5.5%	$2.75
Penzl1234	Yes	50	20.0%	$10
Straight-Pioneer	Yes	50	6.0%	$3
Rash-Amber	Yes	49.5	10.0%	$4.95
nachonc	Yes	48.93	14.0%	$6.85
Alexana	Yes	47.62	2.1%	$1
tomigotchi	Yes	45.45	2.2%	$1
Grateful-Acrylic	Yes	45.45	2.2%	$1
imitation38	Yes	45.45	2.2%	$1
Impeccable-Method	Yes	44.99	8.0%	$3.6
generik	Yes	44.33	3.0%	$1.33
00xx1122	Yes	43	0.1%	$0.04
Tempting-Wannabe	Yes	42.92	0.2%	$0.09
Tomufa2	Yes	42.86	7.0%	$3
Fredgolas	Yes	40	3.0%	$1.2
THIVA10	Yes	39.08	7.7%	$3
Feline-Sunlamp	Yes	38.02	5.3%	$2
Grotesque-Wetbar	Yes	37.85	5.3%	$2
Cryprocrassus69	Yes	35.71	11.2%	$4
Mayory	Yes	35.34	5.7%	$2
RevengeForFemobys	Yes	34.48	2.9%	$1
anon54496941	Yes	34	14.7%	$5
Decent-Supply	Yes	33.9	5.9%	$2
Jewgeni-TheGOAT	Yes	33.9	5.9%	$2
Ivory Falcon 5676	Yes	33.33	6.0%	$2
Pampam777	Yes	33.33	6.0%	$2
Late-Oleo	Yes	33.33	6.0%	$2
Grizzled-Sabre	Yes	33.23	6.0%	$2
BoughtTheTop	Yes	32.39	15.4%	$4.98
iTwist	Yes	32.14	6.2%	$2
Flomor123	Yes	31.25	6.4%	$2
Ivory Maven ADAF	Yes	31	5.0%	$1.55
KnightCW	Yes	30.77	13.0%	$4
Fantastic-Amendment	Yes	30.61	9.8%	$3
Grave-Bread	Yes	30.3	3.3%	$1
Cemoneymaker	Yes	30.3	9.9%	$3
Poor-Tick	Yes	30	10.0%	$3
sagat	Yes	30	7.4%	$2.22
spb74	Yes	30	4.0%	$1.2
Decent-Detainment	Yes	29.76	8.4%	$2.5
Artistic-Codling	Yes	29.41	3.4%	$1
Bold Meteor 473B	Yes	28.4	23.3%	$6.63
Yellow-Crisis	Yes	27.7	3.6%	$1
the.bull	Yes	26.32	3.8%	$1
Discrete-Consent	Yes	25.38	6.5%	$1.65
Caznable	Yes	25.02	8.0%	$2
daroghi	Yes	25	10.0%	$2.5
zenly	Yes	25	6.0%	$1.5
bigfatpolly	Yes	25	12.0%	$3
dfsgsdgsdgsd	Yes	25	11.0%	$2.75
Scarce-Clinic	Yes	25	8.0%	$2
matanasov	Yes	25	8.0%	$2
Watchful-Blight	Yes	24.93	10.0%	$2.49
High-Intuition	Yes	22.06	6.8%	$1.5
Axweil	No	21.1	94.8%	$20
Austra78	Yes	20.41	4.9%	$1
LolzorJr	Yes	20	5.0%	$1
Formal-Encyclopedia	Yes	20	10.2%	$2.04
Emotional-Reunion	Yes	20	5.5%	$1.1
Hollow-Moose	Yes	20	14.0%	$2.8
Abandoned-Quadrant	Yes	20	5.0%	$1
Sidabr	Yes	20	5.0%	$1
Mero97	Yes	19.79	5.1%	$1
Memorable-Dilapidation	Yes	18.87	5.3%	$1
Bronze-Fellow	Yes	18.87	5.3%	$1
ChudIsraelite	Yes	18.75	8.0%	$1.5
Proud-Consulting	Yes	17.86	5.6%	$1
Wasker	Yes	17.14	5.8%	$1
numsei	Yes	16.95	5.9%	$1
Lasting-Moon	Yes	16.67	6.0%	$1
Unwitting-Bagpipe	Yes	16.67	6.0%	$1
WKBPAKA	Yes	16.3	6.9%	$1.12
Gray-Cherry	Yes	16.25	8.0%	$1.3
Casadepapel	Yes	15.97	6.3%	$1
Bright Scout F6DE	Yes	15.63	6.4%	$1
efes033	Yes	15.63	6.4%	$1
antikru	Yes	15.63	6.4%	$1
jones26	Yes	15.38	6.5%	$1
Quizzical-Creche	Yes	14.41	6.9%	$1
Dependent-Centurion	Yes	14.37	7.0%	$1
Fine-Mission	Yes	14.29	7.0%	$1
Friendly-Shirtdress	Yes	14.29	7.0%	$1
Vast-Loop	Yes	14.08	7.1%	$1
omegabjj1997	Yes	14.08	7.1%	$1
ArchyM	Yes	14	5.6%	$0.78
Arctic-Morbidity	Yes	13.89	7.2%	$1
Anxious-Predecessor	Yes	13.74	14.9%	$2.05
zElDiablo89z	Yes	13.54	4.4%	$0.6
borrego2828	Yes	13.33	7.5%	$1
info.voto	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
BsIncredible	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
1.61803398875	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
Orkoyot26	Yes	12.2	8.2%	$1
Trusting-Pony	Yes	11.54	13.0%	$1.5
Questionable-Sandal	Yes	11.11	9.0%	$1
Unusual-Reputation	Yes	11	9.2%	$1.01
Amber Falcon 8190	Yes	10.64	9.4%	$1
Kasjo	No	10.64	94.0%	$10
Past-Equinox	Yes	10.1	9.9%	$1
rad2	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Scented-Cynic	Yes	10	11.0%	$1.1
Unfolded-Logistics	Yes	10	0.7%	$0.07
Ornate-Yellowjacket	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
iSpaceX67	Yes	10	5.8%	$0.58
CapitalistPig	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
Zigzag-Spume	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
Suertudo	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
LuckyMaker	Yes	8.55	11.7%	$1
Corrupt-Yin	Yes	7.69	13.0%	$1
Unwilling-Pepper	Yes	6.67	15.0%	$1
Eric2011	No	6.32	95.0%	$6
Bite-Sized-Wrap	Yes	5.56	18.0%	$1
Wealthy-Clay	Yes	5.26	19.0%	$1
Misty Signal BD49	Yes	5	22.0%	$1.1
Hinshaw	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
jjzzh	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
rikitikitaki	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
DeveloperAmateur	Yes	5	4.5%	$0.23
Misty Signal BD49	No	5	61.0%	$3.05
JohnJJJ	No	5	89.0%	$4.45
aa57	No	5	90.3%	$4.52
kafk	Yes	5	3.6%	$0.18
clausemaster	Yes	4.37	4.6%	$0.2
fqwefewfqewfef	No	4.21	94.9%	$4
brilhante	No	4.15	93.9%	$3.9
BrzPredictor	No	3.36	89.3%	$3
ErCobra	No	2.14	93.3%	$2
Vuzooni	No	2.11	94.9%	$2
lolokay	No	2.1	95.3%	$2
fghfdxhgfdgh	No	1.33	99.4%	$1.32	Mar 29, 6:08 AM UTC
njvfhfghdgh	No	1.25	99.2%	$1.24	Mar 29, 4:06 AM UTC
ceesten	No	1.2	83.0%	$1
fhgdfghdffg	No	1.19	99.4%	$1.18	Mar 29, 6:18 AM UTC
dsfgsdfgsdf	No	1.18	99.4%	$1.17	Mar 29, 6:10 AM UTC
Skwaterbrook	Yes	1.15	87.0%	$1
fghbfd	No	1.12	99.2%	$1.11	Mar 29, 4:06 AM UTC
yrujrtjhuftyhgytg	No	1.12	99.4%	$1.11	Mar 29, 6:08 AM UTC
rollsgoat	No	1.1	91.3%	$1
Dkeih	No	1.07	93.7%	$1
vmuns	No	1.05	95.0%	$1
Menaplay	No	1.05	95.2%	$1
frank19571	Yes	1.05	9.5%	$0.1
vrat	No	1.04	96.1%	$1
Misty Ledger 1BC6	No	1.02	97.7%	$1
oak	Yes	1	5.4%	$0.05
vitalitytens	No	0.8	93.7%	$0.75
Misty Vector BD67	No	0.73	92.0%	$0.67
Limp-Jicama	No	0.64	94.5%	$0.6
egonzalez7	Yes	0.56	6.3%	$0.04
Tidy-Tepee	Yes	0.14	7.0%	$0.01
Lunar Orbit C2E5	No	0.13	95.0%	$0.13

365 of 365 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Savage26	$500
Misty Pulse EA31	$107.53
erggrrr	$97.24

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Cuba and the region oddsWill the US take military action against Cuba?

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