Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.420 | $3.21 | -$6.79 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No | buy | 34.88 | $0.086 | $3 | May 22, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 35.71 |
| $0.960 |
| $34.28 |
| May 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 80.22 | $0.910 | $73 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.280 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 83.28 | $0.899 | $74.87 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 18?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "President Xi" this week? (March 22)Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Finish the Job" this week? (March 22)Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Coward" in March?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Liberation Day" in March?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?Yes | buy | 3.22 | $0.620 | $2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.929 | $15.47 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 58.92 | $0.849 | $50 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.059 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?No | buy | 44.94 | $0.890 | $40 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.340 | $15 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 62.23 | $0.922 | $57.38 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Europe" or "European" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 35.62 | $0.842 | $30 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No | sell | 31.75 | $0.985 | $31.29 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 62.23 | $0.964 | $60 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 13.91 | $0.719 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp | buy | 16.3 | $0.300 | $4.89 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp | buy | 13.61 | $0.720 | $9.8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp | buy | 13.98 | $0.699 | $9.78 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | sell | 60.24 | $0.950 | $57.23 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.995 | $14.21 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.940 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 82.28 | $0.972 | $79.98 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?No | buy | 58.99 | $0.951 | $56.1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 16?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.900 | $30 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No | buy | 20.99 | $0.953 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 22.17 | $0.930 | $20.62 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 42.43 | $0.991 | $42.05 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.972 | $15 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10.52 | $0.951 | $10 | Dec 20, 2025 |