Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 3.71 | $0.420 | $1.56 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 15.38 |
| $0.050 |
| $0.77 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.130 | $0.62 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | sell | 6.81 | $0.034 | $0.23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.500 | $1.45 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.958 | $5.63 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?Yes | buy | 68.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 48.09 | $0.040 | $1.92 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 23.52 | $0.110 | $2.59 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 13.91 | $0.250 | $3.48 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.190 | $1.12 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 11.85 | $0.997 | $11.81 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.680 | $4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-12-06?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by November 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 33.89 | $0.027 | $0.92 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Sombr win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | sell | 21.7 | $0.050 | $1.09 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 24.69 | $0.043 | $1.06 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 9.52 | $0.100 | $0.95 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.022 | $0.55 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.070 | $0.78 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?No | sell | 19.12 | $0.047 | $0.9 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?No | buy | 19.12 | $0.052 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.660 | $0.98 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.771 | $0.96 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |