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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.85 |
| $0.260 |
| $0.25 |
| -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 17.14 |
| $0.058 |
| $1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.130 | $1.08 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?Yes | sell | 40.46 | $0.007 | $0.28 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?Yes | buy | 40.46 | $0.025 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.007 | $0.02 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.300 | $1.03 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 4.61 | $0.654 | $3.01 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.390 | $1.08 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.720 | $1.04 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.008 | $1.6 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 4.62 | $0.650 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 65.25 | $0.015 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by November 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will no one dissent October Fed decision?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 29?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |