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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.050 | $30 | May 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 284.3 |
| $0.049 |
| $14 |
| May 3, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.160 | $27.2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.014 | $16.81 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.090 | $104.7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?Yes | buy | 420 | $0.012 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.260 | $144.44 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes | buy | 671.39 | $0.045 | $30 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 962.5 | $0.260 | $250.25 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 962.5 | $0.280 | $269.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.002 | $6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.002 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.170 | $28.9 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 319.8 | $0.218 | $69.67 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 798.8 | $0.026 | $20.78 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | buy | 319.81 | $0.016 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | buy | 291.74 | $0.069 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 106.01 | $0.028 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.011 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?Yes | buy | 430.14 | $0.046 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?Yes | buy | 399.61 | $0.025 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.030 | $20 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | buy | 453.97 | $0.022 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.004 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.53K | $0.002 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 923.05 | $0.003 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elio win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Arco win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 152.51 | $0.020 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 313.2 | $0.010 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.001 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |