Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.077 | $245.87 | Mar 14, 2026 |
|
twistedmatrices is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,105,843 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$4.9K observed lifetime PnL, 18 resolved positions, a 61.1% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x8434e6bb1df3992b06a0c39e9f160e88713a13ac
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 233.33 |
| $0.075 |
| $17.5 |
| Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 860.07 | $0.436 | $375 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.279 | $800 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | sell | 415 | $0.988 | $410.02 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 299.98 | $0.999 | $299.68 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.59K | $0.440 | $700 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.240 | $480 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 675.16 | $0.170 | $114.78 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.170 | $170 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.160 | $47.94 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 187.56 | $0.370 | $69.4 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 33.2 | $0.058 | $1.93 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 640.83 | $0.370 | $237.11 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.073 | $8.4 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.052 | $104 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.390 | $195 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 415 | $0.720 | $298.8 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 2K | $0.104 | $208 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 2K | $0.084 | $167.2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.040 | $79.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.021 | $20.57 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.320 | $36.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.078 | $2.34 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.180 | $45 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.024 | $60 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 159.58 | $0.180 | $28.72 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.180 | $180 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.180 | $180 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Feb 18, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.