Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 4 Mar 2026, the highest close was 99.9% on 2 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 93 points up, to 95.3% on 1 Mar 2026. $131.11M traded over the market's life.
786 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 4 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 33.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28
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