Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 940.73 | $0.270 | $89.37 | -$164.63 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 86.21 | $0.290 | $25 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 147.06 |
| $0.034 |
| $23.75 |
| +$18.75 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.100 | $3.45 | -$11.55 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 238.1 | $0.021 | $3.33 | -$1.67 |
| buy |
| 115 |
| $0.130 |
| $14.95 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.120 | $108 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?No | buy | 207.03 | $0.004 | $0.83 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.369 | $18.45 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 785.06 | $0.530 | $416.08 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?Down | buy | 17.38 | $0.480 | $8.34 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?Down | buy | 10.02 | $0.490 | $4.91 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.43 | $0.510 | $40 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 528.95 | $0.189 | $100 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 421.05 | $0.190 | $80 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.160 | $40 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.054 | $6.75 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 365.35 | $0.137 | $50 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 419.6 | $0.119 | $50 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 740.74 | $0.270 | $200 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 360.26 | $0.789 | $284.17 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 280.86 | $0.640 | $179.75 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 278.02 | $0.150 | $41.7 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.040 | $40.22 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.450 | $97.83 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 247.78 | $0.810 | $200.7 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.190 | $200.69 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 284.16 | $0.910 | $258.59 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.460 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.500 | $200 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 663.59 | $0.820 | $544.14 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 483.87 | $0.620 | $300 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 278.03 | $0.360 | $100 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.200 | $60 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 472.18 | $0.212 | $100 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |