Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.74K | $0.040 | $429.51 | 28d ago |
|
| buy |
| 3.46K |
| $0.190 |
| $656.69 |
| Mar 11, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 225.88 | $0.490 | $110.68 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.480 | $98.4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.470 | $18.8 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 165 | $0.460 | $75.9 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.140 | $350 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 941.51 | $0.130 | $122.35 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.78K | $0.074 | $131.07 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.080 | $241.03 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 622.09 | $0.070 | $43.55 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.09K | $0.060 | $125.22 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.36K | $0.027 | $144.59 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 552.38 | $0.880 | $486.09 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 636.36 | $0.220 | $140 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 184.12 | $0.830 | $152.82 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 870.13 | $0.336 | $292.66 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 245.5 | $0.830 | $203.77 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?Yes | sell | 2.14K | $0.002 | $4.71 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 982 | $0.840 | $824.88 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.170 | $204 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 9?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.007 | $35.9 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 629 | $0.974 | $612.45 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.04K | $0.040 | $200 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31?Yes | buy | 5.95K | $0.047 | $280.33 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?Yes | buy | 139.95 | $0.040 | $5.59 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?Yes | buy | 111.32 | $0.049 | $5.41 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?Yes | buy | 33.77 | $0.033 | $1.11 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 629 | $0.918 | $577.42 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes | buy | 400.1 | $0.140 | $56.01 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.130 | $145.45 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Yes | sell | 1.94K | $0.101 | $195.92 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.052 | $100 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Syria by December 31?No | buy | 100.4 | $0.831 | $83.41 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.082 | $100 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)Ohio State | buy | 1.11K | $0.480 | $532.8 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)Ohio State | buy | 22.26 | $0.470 | $10.46 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.520 | $234 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.360 | $386.58 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Yes | buy | 550 | $0.360 | $198 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.100 | $200 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.008 | $0.04 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?Yes | buy | 2.34K | $0.170 | $397.73 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.180 | $209.07 | Jun 28, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before August?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.040 | $50 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before August?Yes | buy | 188.26 | $0.038 | $7.15 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.13K | $0.020 | $122.58 | Apr 6, 2025 |