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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 801.38 | $0.141 | $116.2 | +$3.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 847 | $0.029 | $24.56 | 3d ago |
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| Yes |
| 1.12K |
| $0.117 |
| $106.37 |
| -$24.58 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 4.53K | $0.058 | $77.03 | -$187.09 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | Yes | 2.61K | $0.040 | $69.22 | -$34.8 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5.09K | $0.019 | $61.06 | -$37.33 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.094 | $60.8 | -$42.92 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 908.63 | $0.100 | $59.06 | -$31.51 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 300.15 | $0.080 | $56.58 | +$32.57 |
US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 752.77 | $0.163 | $56.46 | -$65.92 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 1.19K | $0.085 | $53.42 | -$48.05 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.403 | $42 | -$79 |
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Yes | 954.71 | $0.113 | $38.67 | -$69.18 |
US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.054 | $37.26 | -$26.62 |
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 5.1K | $0.029 | $35.69 | -$114.39 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 505.54 | $0.071 | $32.86 | -$2.87 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 765.47 | $0.065 | $30.24 | -$19.89 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 310 | $0.190 | $29.45 | -$29.48 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.08K | $0.014 | $21.88 | -$8.01 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 439.54 | $0.048 | $14.94 | -$6.23 |
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 3.01K | $0.004 | $10.52 | -$0.6 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.32K | $0.021 | $5.94 | -$21.21 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 74.82 | $0.177 | $5.61 | -$7.67 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | Yes | 107 | $0.071 | $4.87 | -$2.78 |
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes | 105 | $0.090 | $2.42 | -$7.04 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1K | $0.015 | $1.5 | -$13.35 |
| sell |
| 302.87 |
| $0.060 |
| $18.17 |
| 3d ago |
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.106 | $10.64 | 3d ago |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.071 | $7.65 | 3d ago |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 505.54 | $0.060 | $30.33 | 3d ago |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.267 | $13.33 | 4d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | 4d ago |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | 4d ago |
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.004 | $11.12 | 8d ago |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.013 | $1.3 | 8d ago |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.013 | $22.1 | 8d ago |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.029 | $14.5 | 19d ago |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | 22d ago |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.080 | $24 | 22d ago |
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 571.31 | $0.019 | $10.64 | 22d ago |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.060 | $6.66 | 22d ago |
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | 22d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.170 | $20.4 | 22d ago |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 752.76 | $0.070 | $52.69 | 22d ago |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 811.5 | $0.070 | $56.81 | 22d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.170 | $20.4 | 23d ago |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | 24d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | buy | 318.54 | $0.050 | $15.79 | 29d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | 29d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.044 | $5.38 | 29d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.026 | $3.44 | 29d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 164.9 | $0.020 | $3.3 | 29d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 861.82 | $0.018 | $15.89 | 29d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | 29d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.014 | $26.45 | 29d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | 29d ago |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 443 | $0.036 | $15.95 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.070 | $17.45 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.630 | $31.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 40 | $0.370 | $14.8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 988 | $0.027 | $26.68 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 207 | $0.170 | $35.19 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 308 | $0.036 | $10.95 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 310 | $0.070 | $21.7 | Aug 7, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 590 | $0.078 | $46.11 | Aug 7, 2026 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 252 | $0.025 | $6.3 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.024 | $24.31 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 1.3K | $0.023 | $29.58 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.160 | $35.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 761.36 | $0.024 | $18.45 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.030 | $30.66 | Jul 28, 2026 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.053 | $20 | Jul 28, 2026 |