Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:53 PM UTC.
Analytics
v1lost is down $3.58K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:53 PM UTC.
$14.84 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 23 markets; 64.0% were buys. They run from Sep 5, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.14K | $0.148 | $245.32 | +$76.87 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | 22h ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 11:30 UTC
Polymarket public position response
28 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:53 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:53 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 23:15 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $7.72K and losing ones cost $3.99K across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.15K on “S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?” (Down); the largest loss, $777.53 on “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?” (Yes).
It first traded on 24 Jun 2023 and most recently on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 275 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.16K across 28 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 810.38 |
| $0.150 |
| $149.92 |
| +$28.21 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | Yes | 1.12K | $0.117 | $95.18 | -$35.78 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 700 | $0.104 | $94.5 | +$21.5 |
 Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 419.99 | $0.180 | $84 | +$8.4 |
 Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 265.54 | $0.212 | $57.09 | +$0.84 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 1.19K | $0.085 | $53.42 | -$48.05 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 4.03K | $0.058 | $52.41 | -$182.57 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 300.15 | $0.080 | $48.77 | +$24.76 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.094 | $46.98 | -$56.74 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | Yes | 3.22K | $0.036 | $45.02 | -$69.65 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 1.18K | $0.054 | $40.81 | -$23.07 |
 Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.200 | $34 | +$14 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3.27K | $0.011 | $16.37 | -$20.66 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 188.2 | $0.141 | $16 | -$10.64 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Yes | 477.61 | $0.113 | $13.85 | -$40.1 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 150 | $0.403 | $12.75 | -$47.75 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 263.89 | $0.080 | $11.88 | -$9.24 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 504.82 | $0.097 | $10.85 | -$37.97 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 158.89 | $0.070 | $7.15 | -$4.07 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 259.75 | $0.155 | $6.49 | -$33.76 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 74.82 | $0.177 | $4.86 | -$8.42 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 439.54 | $0.048 | $3.3 | -$17.88 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.32K | $0.005 | $3.16 | -$28.99 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2K | $0.002 | $3 | -$1 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.200 |
| $3 |
| 22h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 689.99 | $0.006 | $4.14 | 22h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.007 | $2.1 | 22h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.031 | $1.55 | 22h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | 22h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.47 | $0.029 | $0.45 | 22h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | 22h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 87.78 | $0.032 | $2.77 | 22h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | 22h ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.160 | $17.6 | 2d ago |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.210 | $25.2 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.180 | $21.24 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.049 | $5.07 | 3d ago |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 603.86 | $0.018 | $10.63 | 3d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.140 | $14.14 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 268 | $0.150 | $40.2 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.100 | $60 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 430 | $0.140 | $60.2 | 6d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.140 | $42 | 6d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | 6d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.080 | $12 | 6d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 765.47 | $0.020 | $15.31 | 6d ago |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.240 | $15.36 | 7d ago |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes | sell | 477.1 | $0.031 | $14.79 | 8d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.160 | $14.4 | 10d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 188.19 | $0.070 | $13.17 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 119.99 | $0.180 | $21.6 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 476.65 | $0.050 | $23.83 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.160 | $28.8 | 10d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.170 | $17 | 10d ago |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.024 | $12.2 | 10d ago |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 101.54 | $0.186 | $18.89 | 10d ago |
| Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | 11d ago |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 376.38 | $0.070 | $26.35 | 11d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | 11d ago |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.8 | $0.080 | $2.3 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.9 | $0.080 | $3.91 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 186.19 | $0.080 | $14.9 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 504.81 | $0.040 | $20.19 | Sep 22, 2026 UTC |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.290 | $58 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.070 | $9.1 | Sep 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4.06 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.070 | $7.07 | Sep 15, 2026 UTC |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 847 | $0.029 | $24.56 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 302.87 | $0.060 | $18.17 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.106 | $10.64 | Sep 5, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.