Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 410.26 | $0.039 | $16 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 18.7 |
| $0.150 |
| $2.8 |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.794 | $1.13 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | sell | 11.81 | $0.488 | $5.76 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 11.81 | $0.320 | $3.78 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 26?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.71 | $0.170 | $3.18 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Yes | sell | 8.25 | $0.870 | $7.18 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.550 | $1.11 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week? (February 15)Yes | buy | 4.86 | $0.370 | $1.8 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 15)No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes | buy | 54.61 | $0.055 | $3 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No | buy | 6.87 | $0.582 | $4 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETUp | buy | 5.82 | $0.170 | $0.99 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.667 | $20 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.27 | $0.245 | $3 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during 2pm signing?Yes | buy | 18.89 | $0.159 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during 2pm signing?Yes | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.620 | $2.9 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on February 4?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?Yes | buy | 8.25 | $0.400 | $3.3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 3?Yes | buy | 94.08 | $0.011 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 10.48 | $0.620 | $6.5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.117 | $7.2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 4.71 | $0.700 | $3.3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. PatriotsPatriots | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 |