Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 755.33 | $0.380 | $101.97 | -$184.95 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 251.77 | $0.300 | $75.53 | Jul 18, 2026 |
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jesse.n533n is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,967,073 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of Sep 13, 8:21 PM the record shows -$832.84 observed lifetime PnL, $109.23K of traded volume, 408 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 68.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x6a3dfdb561e8ef2a84ea2da044a284765804e38c
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 816.43 |
| $0.069 |
| $27.76 |
| -$28.59 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 575.37 | $0.066 | $22.15 | -$15.85 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 114.7 | $0.158 | $10.9 | -$7.24 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 172.41 | $0.058 | $7.24 | -$2.76 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | Yes | 11.36 | $0.440 | $4.94 | -$0.06 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.034 | $4.64 | -$30.35 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 58.14 | $0.086 | $3.4 | -$1.6 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.300 | $1.58 | -$3.42 |
 Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.080 | $1.47 | -$3.53 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 15.26 | $0.246 | $1.14 | -$2.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 17.49 | $0.250 | $0.96 | -$3.41 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $0.91 | -$1.09 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 7.73 | $0.058 | $0.14 | -$0.3 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.072 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
| buy |
| 75.37 |
| $0.040 |
| $3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 385.71 | $0.008 | $3.09 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 483.87 | $0.031 | $15 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 119.36 | $0.140 | $16.71 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.031 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.058 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 322.37 | $0.062 | $20 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 64.28 | $0.500 | $32.14 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 249.98 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?Yes | buy | 234.48 | $0.021 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.070 | $35 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 589.85 | $0.080 | $47.19 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.134 | $13.4 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 286.69 | $0.035 | $10 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 725.71 | $0.069 | $50 | May 12, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | sell | 58.04 | $0.050 | $2.9 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 103.45 | $0.029 | $3 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 493.38 | $0.020 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.023 | $25.85 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.086 | $90 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 219.77 | $0.159 | $35 | May 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.068 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 197.29 | $0.999 | $197.09 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.086 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | May 9, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.018 | $50 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.018 | $20 | May 9, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.270 | $25 | May 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 209.37 | $0.760 | $159.12 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 279.91 | $0.360 | $100.77 | May 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 46.15 | $0.650 | $30 | May 7, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 85 | $0.360 | $30.6 | May 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.640 | $6 | May 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.128 | $6.38 | May 7, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.