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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.300 | $8.33 | -$1.67 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.360 | $8 | 19h ago |
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| Yes |
| 12.69 |
| $0.394 |
| $7.96 |
| +$2.96 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 22.22 | $0.360 | $7.67 | -$0.33 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 55.56 | $0.180 | $7.5 | -$2.5 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.230 | $5.43 | -$4.57 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 15.63 | $0.320 | $3.75 | -$1.25 |
Natural Disaster in 2026? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.220 | $2.95 | -$2.05 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 9.26 | $0.108 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.71 | $0.149 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | $0 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 6.69 | $0.299 | $0.97 | -$1.03 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.88 | $0.205 | $0.92 | -$0.08 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.92 | $0.169 | $0.86 | -$0.14 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.023 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
Trump out as President by September 30? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.015 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.013 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $0.33 | -$1.67 |
Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100 | $0.010 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $10 |
| 5d ago |
Trump out as President by September 30?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | 5d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | 15d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | 22d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | 22d ago |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 18.87 | $0.053 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.149 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.169 | $1 | 23d ago |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.205 | $1 | 23d ago |
Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | 24d ago |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | 24d ago |
Trump out as President by August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | 24d ago |
Will Trump’s remarks not air?Yes | buy | 27.12 | $0.037 | $1 | 26d ago |
Will Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 26d ago |
Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 26d ago |
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 26d ago |
Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 26d ago |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 12?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 28d ago |
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 705.81 | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Refund" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Trump’s remarks not air?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Trump’s remarks not air?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No | sell | 13.66 | $0.944 | $12.9 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No | sell | 65.62 | $0.954 | $62.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No | buy | 50.12 | $0.599 | $30 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No | buy | 15.5 | $0.645 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No | buy | 13.66 | $0.366 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.570 | $8.14 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?No | buy | 15.43 | $0.065 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |