Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 76.92 |
| $0.130 |
| $10 |
| Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.069 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 131.79 | $0.038 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | buy | 87.5 | $0.080 | $7 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 104.36 | $0.029 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.024 | $2.4 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.057 | $3.42 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | buy | 24.23 | $0.018 | $0.44 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.071 | $1.56 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.015 | $0.53 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | buy | 68.83 | $0.240 | $16.52 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.87 | $0.046 | $3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | buy | 335 | $0.003 | $1.01 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?Yes | buy | 334 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.061 | $1.83 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 64.71 | $0.155 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |