Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.130 | $5.92 | -$14.08 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 358.41 | $0.028 | $10 | May 24, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.53 |
| $0.190 |
| $0.73 |
| -$1.27 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 14.71 | $0.340 | $0.68 | -$4.32 |
| buy |
| 32.36 |
| $0.309 |
| $10 |
| May 6, 2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.48 | $0.822 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 211.66 | $0.021 | $4.36 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.999 | $5.94 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 110.23 | $0.009 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?No | buy | 93.75 | $0.640 | $60 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.780 | $11.14 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?No | buy | 55.3 | $0.723 | $40 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?No | buy | 31.37 | $0.638 | $20 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | sell | 64.39 | $0.978 | $62.97 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?No | sell | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.998 | $99.79 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 150.48 | $0.080 | $12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 2K | $0.003 | $6 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | sell | 334.33 | $0.054 | $18.11 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.973 | $7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.610 | $11.09 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Nettspend release an album by June 30?Yes | buy | 48.35 | $0.910 | $44 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 656.49 | $0.014 | $9.19 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.006 | $1.2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?Yes | buy | 2.33K | $0.013 | $30 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 73.17 | $0.830 | $60.73 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 61.6 | $0.974 | $60 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 110K | $0.002 | $220 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 200K | $0.003 | $600 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | sell | 73.62 | $0.759 | $55.88 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 198K | $0.006 | $1.19K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.17K | $0.006 | $25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 25K | $0.006 | $150 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 36.59 | $0.547 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Nettspend release an album in 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.800 | $60 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 49.18 | $0.610 | $30 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | sell | 35.52 | $0.923 | $32.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Aperture - Harry Styles be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | buy | 334.33 | $0.090 | $30 | Jan 26, 2026 |