Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 2.27 | $0.440 | $2.15 | +$1.15 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
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Skwaterbrook is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,105,038 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$19.38 observed lifetime PnL, 193 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 96.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x03fe9439673ef135e8d292885c5d55f0a5d94838
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 2.07 |
| $0.964 |
| $2.02 |
| +$0.02 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $0.56 | -$0.44 |
 Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? | Alcaraz | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
| Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? | Sinner | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | $0.230 | $0.34 | -$1.66 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 7.94 | $0.252 | $0.25 | -$1.75 |
 Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.790 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
 Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | Yes | 1.72 | $0.580 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| buy |
| 1.03 |
| $0.973 |
| $1 |
| Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 2.2 | $0.440 | $0.97 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.743 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (February 1)Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will "Trump" or "Biden" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 1)Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Robert Fico handshake last less than 2 seconds?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 12-18?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike another country before 2027?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.