Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 6 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 21.4% on 9 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.9 points up, to 21.4% on 9 Feb 2026. $5.86M traded over the market's life.
669 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 8.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Proper-Young | Yes | 112.97K |
| shortfiat | Yes | 51.63K |
| hackers8812091239 | Yes | 31.04K |
| richy73 | Yes | 21.97K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Zesty-Carnival | Yes | 21.69K |
| MuchAdo2BRN2B | Yes | 21.62K |
| NoelMartin | Yes | 21.52K |
| leverauxdubai | Yes | 18.09K |
| BurstedBubble | Yes | 17.12K |
| ndhuet | Yes | 12.67K |
