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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.48K | $0.134 | $1K | Feb 12, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 13.21K |
| $0.045 |
| $600 |
| Feb 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.11K | $0.083 | $426.06 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.66K | $0.082 | $300 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | buy | 6.98K | $0.501 | $3.5K | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.362 | $400 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 881.08 | $0.023 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 5?Yes | buy | 8.57K | $0.002 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 5?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.005 | $20 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 5?Yes | buy | 2.86K | $0.042 | $120 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 5?Yes | buy | 2.47K | $0.040 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.054 | $120 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.22K | $0.009 | $200 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.047 | $50 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Yes | buy | 493.22 | $0.608 | $300 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.052 | $60 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?Yes | sell | 816.65 | $0.997 | $814.2 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Ford Motor (F) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 558.82 | $0.036 | $20 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 305.47 | $0.996 | $304.16 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 253.06 | $0.995 | $251.88 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 305.48 | $0.655 | $200 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 253.06 | $0.790 | $200 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.7K | $0.034 | $400 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 29.42K | $0.007 | $210.49 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 29.42K | $0.010 | $300 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 555.55 | $0.956 | $531.11 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?Yes | buy | 816.65 | $0.245 | $200 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?Yes | buy | 853.01 | $0.234 | $200 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.38K | $0.824 | $1.96K | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.81K | $0.026 | $100 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp | buy | 710.76 | $0.169 | $120 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 10?Up | buy | 3.9K | $0.056 | $220 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 13.82K | $0.036 | $500 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 206.28 | $0.194 | $40 | Oct 3, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.168 | $400 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?Yes | sell | 86.95 | $0.990 | $86.08 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | buy | 630.69 | $0.143 | $90 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | buy | 920.79 | $0.109 | $100 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach 120500 on August 15?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.020 | $40 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?Yes | buy | 426.4 | $0.094 | $40 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?Yes | buy | 688.34 | $0.073 | $50 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Yes | buy | 982.54 | $0.102 | $100 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?Yes | buy | 709.27 | $0.141 | $100 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 967.66 | $0.103 | $100 | Aug 14, 2025 |