Analytics
Yes is at 1.5%, down 4.5 points from 6% when the market opened on 13 Jan 2026.
Across the 271 daily closes on record from 13 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.3% on 11 May 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 28 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.5%; a month before, 2.9%.
$6.14K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $39.82K, with a 0.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 130 trades, $79.2 bought Yes and $1.93K bought No.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 500 shares; the largest No position is Alegrandebig with 385. Ten wallets hold 85.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 271 points, 13 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jan 2026 | 6.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thecaricature | Yes | 499.98 |
| Alegrandebig | No | 385.37 |
| i400 | No | 381.27 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jerome-powell-in-jail-before-2027
| Solar Raven A90C |
| No |
| 365.19 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 201.36 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 125.26 |
| 4bukedang | Yes | 114.29 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 110.01 |
| SteppeKasandra | No | 106.32 |
| 9839 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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