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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 640.96 | $0.855 | $616.29 | +$68.29 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 300 |
| $0.830 |
| $282 |
| +$33 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 230 | $0.880 | $222.3 | +$19.9 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 120 | $0.840 | $118.02 | +$17.22 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.8K | $0.013 | $58.9 | +$10.02 |
| buy |
| 121.95 |
| $0.820 |
| $100 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.870 | $348 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.830 | $249 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.320 | $102.4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.950 | $475 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 110 | $0.900 | $99 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.840 | $252 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 70 | $0.690 | $48.3 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 230 | $0.880 | $202.4 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.890 | $97.9 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.840 | $100.8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.060 | $7 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 158.68 | $0.126 | $20 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 185.19 | $0.810 | $150 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 240.96 | $0.830 | $200 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.8K | $0.013 | $48.88 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.220 | $99 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 180 | $0.830 | $149.4 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 179.27 | $0.830 | $148.79 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 440 | $0.260 | $114.4 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.251 | $125.58 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.620 | $49.6 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 510 | $0.845 | $430.89 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.720 | $108 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 659.34 | $0.910 | $600 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?No | buy | 100 | $0.320 | $32 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?No | buy | 150 | $0.320 | $48 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?No | buy | 65.36 | $0.306 | $20.01 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?No | buy | 220 | $0.441 | $97.11 | Jul 2, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?No | buy | 120 | $0.846 | $101.57 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.898 | $8.98 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?No | buy | 90 | $0.898 | $80.82 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 180.72 | $0.830 | $150 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No | sell | 431.82 | $0.986 | $425.77 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 150 | $0.890 | $133.5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 230 | $0.870 | $200.1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?No | buy | 160 | $0.879 | $140.6 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?No | buy | 600 | $0.450 | $270 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?No | buy | 155 | $0.045 | $6.92 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?No | buy | 119.25 | $0.830 | $98.98 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?No | buy | 50.18 | $0.800 | $40.14 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Social security checks delayed/not sent before July?No | buy | 217 | $0.794 | $172.4 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?No | buy | 210.17 | $0.853 | $179.28 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.039 | $7.8 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?No | buy | 136 | $0.024 | $3.27 | May 31, 2025 |