Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 60 | $0.887 | $58.62 | +$5.4 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.053 | $1.59 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 35 |
| $0.895 |
| $34 |
| +$2.68 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 35 | $0.926 | $33.58 | +$1.16 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.820 | $28.88 | +$4.28 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 28 | $0.933 | $26.68 | +$0.55 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.019 | $23.38 | +$0.69 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.750 | $23.13 | +$4.38 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 21.37 | $0.770 | $19.98 | +$3.53 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $19.39 | +$1.39 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.888 | $19.24 | +$1.48 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.760 | $19.07 | +$3.87 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.800 | $19 | +$3 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 20 | $0.840 | $18.5 | +$1.7 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 20 | $0.919 | $18.45 | +$0.07 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | No | 14.99 | $0.931 | $13.98 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 25 | $0.500 | $13.13 | +$0.63 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10 | $0.870 | $8.85 | +$0.15 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 30 | $0.200 | $8.55 | +$2.55 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 10 | $0.480 | $8.3 | +$3.5 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 9 | $0.840 | $7.88 | +$0.32 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.024 | $4 | -$0.8 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.240 | $1.03 | -$10.98 |
 Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | No | 0.5 | $0.880 | $0.46 | +$0.02 |
 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.010 | $0.3 | -$1.7 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.035 | $0.24 | -$0.12 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.240 |
| $12 |
| May 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.909 | $27.27 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.920 | $18.4 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.230 | $3.45 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.690 | $20.7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.033 | $0.66 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.021 | $0.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.180 | $5.04 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.235 | $4.7 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.020 | $12 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.945 | $28.35 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.070 | $4.2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.915 | $22.88 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on March 11, 2026?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.980 | $4.01 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.801 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 20 | $0.978 | $19.56 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 11.35 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.030 | $1.8 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?No | buy | 15 | $0.980 | $14.7 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Yes | buy | 5.4 | $0.370 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to MrBeast in January?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.028 | $1.7 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?No | buy | 5 | $0.987 | $4.94 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in January?No | buy | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Yes | sell | 8.26 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei public appearance by Friday?Yes | sell | 15.84 | $0.011 | $0.17 | Jan 16, 2026 |