Analytics
AlexCimmeria is down $33.6K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-19 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 227.43K | $0.103 | $5.34K | -$18.02K |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | $0 | $0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0% | $15 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-19 21:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
19 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 23:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-24 23:03 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-19 21:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $42.99K and losing ones cost $30.22K across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $7.63K on “US forces enter Iran by April 30?” (Yes); the largest loss, $17.24K on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?” (No).
It has traded 242 markets. Its open positions are worth $15.58K across 19 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 4.8K |
| $0.845 |
| $4.69K |
| +$631.2 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3K | $0.790 | $1.06K | +$32.5 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 8.6K | $0.398 | $731 | -$2.69K |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.57K | $0.275 | $634.47 | -$2.27K |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 10.13K | $0.199 | $556.93 | -$1.46K |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4.63K | $0.166 | $486.11 | -$284.62 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.780 | $370 | +$58 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 2.6K | $0.200 | $325 | -$195 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.130 | $310 | -$990 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 300 | $0.788 | $251.55 | +$15.15 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 999.97 | $0.290 | $219.99 | -$69.99 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.149 | $214.9 | +$6.3 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.210 | $181.51 | -$49.49 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.9K | $0.053 | $69.35 | -$31.35 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.095 | $47.3 | -$57.2 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 910.71 | $0.329 | $45.99 | -$254.01 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 999.99 | $0.100 | $31 | -$69 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.36K | $0.220 | $10.18 | -$288.56 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
