Analytics
Yes is at 5%, down 49 points from 54% when the market opened on 15 Jan 2026.
Across the 266 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 4% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5%; a month before, 7%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 28.5% on 30 Jun 2026.
$64.9 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $80.84K since listing. The order book holds $12.02K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.19K bought Yes and $15.45K bought No; the largest was a $2.4K buy of No at 86.9¢.
The largest Yes position is AlexCimmeria with 10.6K shares; the largest No position is archaic with 3.8K. Ten wallets hold 65.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 266 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2026 | 54.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 5.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AlexCimmeria | Yes | 10.57K |
| archaic | No | 3.83K |
| gopfan2 | No | 3.5K |
Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kadyrov-out-as-head-of-the-chechen-republic-by
| mountaindewd |
| No |
| 2.84K |
| LLDLIMITED | No | 2.71K |
| operatord | No | 1.17K |
| darkus | Yes | 857.14 |
| Violet Vector 6350 | Yes | 848.7 |
| suppluh | Yes | 826.21 |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 775.55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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