Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 535.79 | $0.081 | $43.4 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 99.81 |
| $0.310 |
| $30.94 |
| Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 45.4 | $0.681 | $30.94 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 45.4 | $0.700 | $31.78 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 290.7 | $0.086 | $25 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.988 | $25.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance during UFC 327?Yes | buy | 20.66 | $0.451 | $9.32 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump dance during UFC 327?Yes | buy | 20.29 | $0.460 | $9.33 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Yes | buy | 50.62 | $0.198 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.048 | $10 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.081 | $7.29 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 245.1 | $0.102 | $25 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 184.21 | $0.190 | $35 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 484.32 | $0.108 | $52.11 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes | buy | 163.85 | $0.093 | $15.3 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 90.24 | $0.160 | $14.44 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 90.24 | $0.410 | $37 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 159.24 | $0.314 | $50 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 125.17 | $0.060 | $7.51 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes | buy | 287.11 | $0.070 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.014 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.89 | $0.490 | $81.78 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 95.23 | $0.620 | $59.04 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.31 | $0.057 | $5.43 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by January 31?Yes | sell | 135.13 | $0.035 | $4.71 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.73 | $0.440 | $32 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Yes | buy | 38.2 | $0.393 | $15 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.15 | $0.036 | $2.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31?Yes | buy | 84.75 | $0.059 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31?Yes | buy | 135.14 | $0.037 | $5 | Jan 5, 2026 |