Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Name: Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

politicsActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes

2.8%

97.3%

Yes costs 2.75¢No costs 97.25¢

24h Volume

$77

Total volume

$606.3K

Liquidity

$74.2K

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Open positions

The positions Polymarket reports for this market, largest first.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
YOU-CAN-RUN-BUT-YOU-CANT-HIDE	Yes	230.06K	30.2%	$67.95K
🤺Yoon18nom	No	32.82K	86.0%	$28.19K
BrightTiger	No	28.37K	76.9%	$21.81K	Jul 11, 11:08 AM UTC
seyo	No	26.71K	89.8%	$23.88K	Aug 3, 2:10 AM UTC
xiehueng	No	24.87K	56.4%	$14.01K
Nadmi	No	13.47K	57.2%	$7.7K
TeemuPukki	No	12.83K	88.7%	$11.38K	Oct 28, 10:24 AM UTC
whhhiew	No	12.14K	83.0%	$10.01K	Jun 20, 8:04 AM UTC
pol76	No	11.35K	88.0%	$9.96K	Aug 19, 3:18 AM UTC
Stableincome	No	9.86K	92.2%	$9.08K	Oct 27, 5:54 AM UTC
pardens	No	8.8K	91.3%	$8K
thoodr	No	8.67K	92.4%	$8K	Oct 13, 8:46 AM UTC
billckman	No	8.55K	90.3%	$7.7K
0xdc3E831cad	No	8.05K	80.4%	$6.47K	Sep 13, 8:55 AM UTC
Martiallaw	Yes	7.3K	10.9%	$765.57
sambutogun	No	5.81K	89.5%	$5.2K
iiIiiIIiiIIIiIiIIIIiiiiIIiIiiIiiiIIIiiIIii	No	5.11K	90.7%	$4.63K	Aug 18, 1:06 PM UTC
hooonthor	No	5.1K	78.7%	$4K	Aug 3, 8:15 AM UTC
exV	No	4.35K	90.3%	$3.91K
Cobalt Sphinx AB2C	No	4.24K	94.4%	$4K
gagagagagaga	No	3.81K	91.5%	$3.49K
izowooi-naver	No	3.54K	89.6%	$3.17K
y0urm0mgood	Yes	3.33K	13.8%	$443.82
WR100	Yes	3K	11.9%	$357
500EUR	No	2.64K	75.0%	$1.98K
hotgirlisme	No	2.45K	92.1%	$2.25K	Jun 21, 2:36 PM UTC
fiter	Yes	2.35K	2.5%	$58.95
Shakuras	No	2.34K	91.1%	$2.13K	Jul 13, 5:27 AM UTC
taesookim	No	2.08K	95.6%	$1.99K	Oct 19, 3:14 PM UTC
Unfit-Foray	Yes	1.96K	27.4%	$536
Puciu	No	1.88K	91.3%	$1.71K	Jul 22, 1:47 AM UTC
Flamboyant-Warming	Yes	1.86K	2.4%	$43.78
Changho	Yes	1.79K	9.4%	$163	Jul 4, 9:40 AM UTC
SpaceXY	Yes	1.58K	9.8%	$155.13
Dualtrol	No	1.39K	90.6%	$1.25K	Aug 17, 8:03 AM UTC
qwer1413	No	1.3K	80.0%	$1.04K
LornaPredicts	Yes	1.2K	5.7%	$68.49
TheWindKnowsmyName	Yes	999.54	2.0%	$20.37
srylee	Yes	993.03	13.6%	$131.5
Exhausted-Flight	Yes	979.66	10.2%	$100
Virtuous-Quail	Yes	922.52	11.2%	$100
Teixeira10	No	915.8	79.7%	$725.76	Oct 25, 1:38 PM UTC
Slippery-Dependent	Yes	897.32	12.3%	$110
Wallets12	Yes	801.9	12.5%	$100
HerrieDavis	No	755.94	81.2%	$614.05
raymond2027	No	751.86	92.7%	$694.68	Aug 30, 2:53 PM UTC
Turbulent-Decline-Router	No	695	81.2%	$564.55
planktonXD	Yes	691.5	1.1%	$7.61	Oct 27, 9:38 PM UTC
nooneX	No	598.92	88.6%	$529.77	Oct 27, 9:39 PM UTC
lilgato	No	585	91.2%	$531.77	Jul 15, 1:54 AM UTC
Rickson83	No	527.72	94.7%	$500
bigshort	No	500	90.0%	$450
erfwe	No	500	89.4%	$447
il1	No	499.74	91.2%	$454.2	Jul 11, 7:22 PM UTC
adandesuyo	Yes	478.49	11.1%	$51.08
cddalways	No	477.58	90.5%	$432
supahao	No	400	95.0%	$380
Elias.Thornwell	No	387.2	86.0%	$332.88	Jul 30, 10:40 PM UTC
rolrolrol	No	331.1	90.9%	$299.85
LinaBell	No	330.2	90.5%	$297.82	Jun 23, 12:26 AM UTC
Bronzi	No	315.46	95.3%	$300	Oct 16, 11:10 AM UTC
Female-Tailbud	Yes	281.25	32.0%	$90
purebaby	Yes	271.92	2.8%	$7.5
simplystupid188	Yes	260.68	9.2%	$24.04
Defenseless-Placement	No	259.64	89.4%	$231
asdasdasdasdasdasdasd	Yes	245	16.9%	$40.01
awei02	No	233.03	86.3%	$200
lacklack	No	226.74	88.2%	$200
zxcvmniodczklklcxzvvlk	No	218.76	91.2%	$198.85	Jul 7, 9:38 AM UTC
4751346	No	200	89.5%	$179
eletiongate	No	199.99	88.6%	$177.19
agreebera	No	197.54	94.2%	$185.66	Sep 27, 8:20 AM UTC
timegood	No	190.05	94.4%	$179.03	Sep 28, 3:19 AM UTC
WeJustBettin	No	166.42	93.3%	$155	Aug 15, 8:35 PM UTC
Shakenpo	Yes	157.52	6.0%	$9.53
ashdawn	Yes	157.19	15.9%	$25
BuyDipZ	Yes	130	18.0%	$23.4
OnionKoreanWar	Yes	128.6	19.0%	$24.43
juroomie98	Yes	128.17	12.1%	$15	Jun 23, 3:05 PM UTC
Hong2	Yes	123.42	8.1%	$9.72
QUADROZE	No	110.74	90.6%	$100	Aug 3, 7:08 AM UTC
Young-Laboratory	Yes	109.06	9.2%	$10
EdolE	No	108.1	88.3%	$95	Jul 5, 3:17 PM UTC
hyunik	No	106.38	94.0%	$100
Golden Signal D11F	No	105.26	95.5%	$100
Mitakaasa7	Yes	100	9.5%	$9.5
buffjhonson	Yes	100	9.0%	$9
createfit	No	100	95.6%	$95.4	Oct 8, 7:08 AM UTC
Sweltering-Expectation	No	100	87.6%	$87.6
willin14	No	100	93.1%	$92.8	Sep 23, 2:52 AM UTC
overgame	No	97.31	93.9%	$91.18	Sep 24, 9:06 AM UTC
damngood6	No	90.94	87.9%	$79.58
POATAN35	No	90.05	92.1%	$82.94
TJpols	Yes	88.5	11.7%	$10
gyobin	Yes	85.64	11.7%	$10
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.	Yes	80	1.8%	$1.48
Abandoned-Movie	Yes	79.81	12.5%	$10
95dfs	Yes	78.2	1.4%	$1.09
Jade Vector CF97	Yes	77.21	10.7%	$8
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	72.71	2.0%	$1.43	Oct 28, 5:32 AM UTC
warptrading	No	70.42	79.0%	$55.62
alexsandmiilet	No	64.62	94.7%	$61.2
92asda	Yes	61.77	2.5%	$1.53
dukseongseoyeon	No	61.72	91.1%	$56
lateright	No	59.9	90.2%	$54.06
frewaadtea	No	55.7	94.5%	$52.64
WBKim	No	55.56	90.3%	$50	Jul 29, 2:57 PM UTC
azagaza	No	52.82	87.1%	$46.03
who0704	No	51	93.8%	$47.71	Sep 23, 7:39 AM UTC
janguilar	No	50.66	94.4%	$47.82
TAMPONTIM	No	50	90.2%	$45.1
dogcrypto	No	50	95.9%	$47.85	Oct 4, 1:08 PM UTC
start5888	No	50	92.6%	$46.2	Sep 11, 9:52 AM UTC
Mortont	No	42.06	95.3%	$40	Oct 17, 2:09 PM UTC
Geonhee	Yes	38.09	10.5%	$4
rengisgood	No	36	87.0%	$31.32
EconProf	No	33.56	89.8%	$30	Jul 6, 7:33 AM UTC
kstc17a	No	32.47	91.3%	$29.65
axiol	No	31.79	95.3%	$30.3
Coral Voyager 0FA5	Yes	30	20.2%	$5.88
Mysterion	No	30	95.9%	$28.71	Oct 19, 8:35 AM UTC
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	30	10.0%	$3
The-Defect	No	29.99	86.1%	$25.83
daroghi	Yes	29.86	8.8%	$2.63
Curvy-Imbalance	No	26.96	90.2%	$24.21	Jul 16, 5:51 PM UTC
Scaly-Arena	Yes	25	2.0%	$0.5
baybug	No	23.21	82.2%	$19.06
Futuretaker	No	20	93.0%	$18.6
LBZbot2	No	20	90.1%	$18.02
Permanent-revolution	No	18.7	88.3%	$16.44
rsabahor	No	18.61	90.0%	$16.69	Jun 28, 11:23 PM UTC
Ignorant-Vanadyl	No	18.05	90.3%	$16.26	Jul 23, 12:23 AM UTC
PolyJaguar	Yes	16.99	6.0%	$1.02
trotzstirn	Yes	14.11	8.3%	$1.17
105715	Yes	14.09	10.6%	$1.5
tweetmaster	Yes	13	12.3%	$1.55
Cobalt Scout A01C	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Emerald Horizon FF28	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Jade Sphinx 42B4	Yes	12	8.8%	$1.02
Bold Orbit 4ED5	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Azure Falcon 8336	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Swift Maven D65F	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Azure Pulse 22D1	Yes	12	9.2%	$1.07
Silver Quasar BC1F	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Swift Quasar CF0C	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Keen Tide 9ACF	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Amber Lynx 48A2	Yes	12	9.2%	$1.07
Silver Kestrel 3CF6	Yes	12	9.3%	$1.08
Ivory Meteor 7D9F	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Swift Oracle 57BC	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Ivory Summit D41A	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Royal Comet E4AC	Yes	12	9.3%	$1.08
Crimson Pulse 8EEF	Yes	12	9.2%	$1.07
Silver Summit 0EC4	Yes	12	9.2%	$1.07
Neon Signal 148B	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Golden Meteor 4A4B	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Cosmic Oracle 988C	Yes	12	9.2%	$1.07
Crimson Beacon 1911	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Royal Lynx 706C	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Emerald Horizon CDBB	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Amber Lynx D5A3	Yes	12	9.2%	$1.07
Indigo Vector 8A8E	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Misty Pulse 6123	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Bright Horizon FFBF	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Keen Quasar CE66	Yes	12	9.2%	$1.07
Indigo Beacon F79A	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Emerald Quasar 158D	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Violet Signal E3BB	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Silver Ledger FAD5	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Jade Sphinx B6A3	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Violet Pulse D3FC	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Golden Beacon 69A2	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Neon Raven 1127	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Emerald Ledger 57F2	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Bold Horizon F87F	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Azure Scout A92A	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Bright Comet 9E9E	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Azure Falcon BAE4	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Amber Lynx 0340	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Neon Horizon 5ACE	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Emerald Pioneer E5D7	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Lunar Quasar 0F11	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Jade Beacon 80E2	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Violet Vector 21DA	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Bright Sphinx 067B	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Coral Meteor 4B9E	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Lunar Raven 9440	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Bold Tide CA5B	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Rapid Voyager DBF7	Yes	12	9.1%	$1.06
Coral Summit 0B3B	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Emerald Ledger CD7F	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Solar Voyager 2A87	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Quiet Sphinx 3AAC	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Amber Summit 31FF	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Cosmic Oracle 79C3	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Cobalt Atlas 3AC8	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Azure Lynx CEC0	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Bold Tide A903	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Misty Summit FB88	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Keen Scout 2A97	Yes	12	9.3%	$1.08
Ivory Tide FE09	Yes	12	9.0%	$1.04
Jade Scout 210C	Yes	12	8.9%	$1.03
Bright Voyager 1001	Yes	12	9.3%	$1.08
XD3DY	Yes	10.87	9.2%	$1
bycut	No	10.34	87.0%	$9
asdssss	Yes	10.12	12.2%	$1.24
Penguin.	Yes	10	10.5%	$1.01	Jun 28, 1:32 AM UTC
Ocoiner	Yes	10	10.0%	$1
i-king	No	10	90.9%	$9.09
kekeeu	No	10	86.7%	$8.67
yujine1214	No	10	91.5%	$9.12
hitguy	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
t8wqrhzf5bt2	Yes	9.09	12.6%	$1.1
Quarterly-Minority	Yes	9.07	11.4%	$1
Cosmic Comet 2704	No	9.01	87.4%	$7.86	Jul 15, 8:40 AM UTC
hspje89	No	8.78	91.1%	$8
eldermaven	No	8.42	94.3%	$7.94
Serious-Competitor-Hobby	No	8	72.0%	$5.76
Reckless-Hacienda	Yes	7.41	14.0%	$1
Fair-Jug	No	6.67	90.3%	$6	Jul 26, 9:02 AM UTC
xo.ox	Yes	6.47	4.0%	$0.26
V4grant	Yes	5.88	17.6%	$1
Infinite-Vise-Wombat	Yes	5.82	17.8%	$1
Cobalt Maven 229E	Yes	5.8	8.9%	$0.5
kkgw	No	5.47	91.7%	$5
periculophobic	Yes	5.38	7.0%	$0.38
neutralwave23	No	5.09	93.2%	$4.73	Sep 4, 1:41 PM UTC
truhojun-meta	No	5.09	90.6%	$4.6	Jun 23, 9:26 PM UTC
velorot	Yes	5	4.9%	$0.25
Wordy-Doctrine	Yes	5	9.8%	$0.49
Misty Voyager D9F7	Yes	5	7.6%	$0.38
nery42	No	5	91.0%	$4.54	Jul 1, 8:09 AM UTC
RepublicOfChina	No	5	76.1%	$3.77
mehanizator	Yes	4.9	33.6%	$1.65
Weighty-Twitter	Yes	4.89	9.2%	$0.45
50sad	Yes	4.81	11.2%	$0.54	Jul 30, 10:16 AM UTC
Crimson Lynx 2BDD	Yes	4.6	8.8%	$0.39
KenneyG	Yes	4.29	14.3%	$0.61
Swift Raven C569	No	3.32	91.1%	$3	Jun 26, 7:23 PM UTC
Bold Scout A98F	Yes	2.78	10.6%	$0.29
Made-Up-Script	No	2.24	89.6%	$2
bet2da2	No	2.21	90.9%	$2	Jul 7, 3:40 AM UTC
Infamous-Odyssey	No	2.2	91.1%	$2	Jun 28, 1:41 AM UTC
2B9S	Yes	2.11	5.2%	$0.11
Mild-Guestbook	Yes	1.96	10.5%	$0.21
Mild-Guestbook	No	1.96	91.3%	$1.79
88mnm88	No	1.65	88.1%	$1.45
PX5300	No	1.51	90.1%	$1.36
48xsds	Yes	1.31	12.5%	$0.16
Indigo Oracle D502	No	1.21	92.1%	$1.1	Jun 30, 3:34 PM UTC
Rapid Voyager F13B	No	1.15	87.6%	$1
Attached-Lunge	Yes	1.12	10.4%	$0.12
no1biao	Yes	1.11	6.4%	$0.07
Chrop	No	1.1	91.1%	$1	Jul 10, 1:40 PM UTC
daniholm	No	1.1	91.0%	$1
Somimi	No	1.1	91.0%	$1
manbo3	No	1.04	96.0%	$1	Oct 18, 11:43 AM UTC
Stingy-Parsnip	No	1.04	96.0%	$1
Quiet Beacon E347	Yes	1	9.2%	$0.09
rocky42009	No	0.95	87.4%	$0.83
jjeeesusssus	No	0.88	87.3%	$0.77
rocky42009	Yes	0.67	10.4%	$0.07
15rob	No	0.53	88.2%	$0.47	Jul 5, 2:56 PM UTC
Lavincey	No	0.42	88.3%	$0.37	Oct 22, 1:12 AM UTC
tzquantalpha001	No	0.27	95.4%	$0.26	Oct 19, 4:30 PM UTC
25oodksmsss09	Yes	0.24	6.3%	$0.02
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	No	0.19	78.0%	$0.14
TesterP	No	0.12	79.0%	$0.1

268 of 268 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
🤺Yoon18nom	$31.92K
BrightTiger	$27.59K
seyo	$25.97K

Analytics