Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 2.06K | $0.882 | $1.8K | -$14.46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 235.55 | $0.910 | $214.35 | 20m ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.51K |
| $0.827 |
| $1.29K |
| +$41.91 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.14K | $0.974 | $1.12K | +$10.78 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 902.15 | $0.955 | $857.04 | -$4.73 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 866.45 | $0.933 | $810.13 | +$1.73 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 720.14 | $0.891 | $666.13 | +$24.11 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 712.97 | $0.907 | $648.8 | +$1.86 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 749.77 | $0.798 | $648.55 | +$50.49 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06K | $0.526 | $618.75 | +$62.49 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 548.21 | $0.965 | $531.49 | +$2.51 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.485 | $531.43 | -$34.78 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Yes | 453.34 | $0.801 | $423.87 | +$60.81 |
 Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 417.86 | $0.990 | $417.65 | +$4.05 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 412.32 | $0.956 | $402.84 | +$8.48 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 448.29 | $0.817 | $379.48 | +$13.28 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 422.62 | $0.768 | $378.24 | +$53.47 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | No | 335.92 | $0.955 | $326.52 | +$5.65 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 324.59 | $0.942 | $304.31 | -$1.51 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 308.92 | $0.865 | $291.93 | +$24.79 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 313.34 | $0.898 | $289.84 | +$8.38 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 306.54 | $0.899 | $283.55 | +$8.07 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 374.81 | $0.794 | $283.54 | -$14.09 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 338.36 | $0.808 | $282.53 | +$8.98 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 286.86 | $0.965 | $282.41 | +$5.48 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 387.11 | $0.708 | $278.72 | +$4.79 |
| sell |
| 20.21 |
| $0.890 |
| $17.99 |
| 37m ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 20.7 | $0.420 | $8.69 | 1h ago |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 18.9 | $0.629 | $11.89 | 2h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 2h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 877.54 | $0.460 | $403.67 | 2h ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 29.84 | $0.980 | $29.24 | 2h ago |
 Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 7.05 | $0.910 | $6.42 | 2h ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 6.01 | $0.850 | $5.11 | 2h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 70.34 | $0.470 | $33.06 | 3h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 878.76 | $0.480 | $421.8 | 3h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 878.76 | $0.480 | $421.8 | 3h ago |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 14.62 | $0.970 | $14.18 | 3h ago |
 Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No | sell | 14.72 | $0.947 | $13.94 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 34.39 | $0.490 | $16.85 | 3h ago |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No | buy | 68.16 | $0.977 | $66.59 | 4h ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 40.89 | $0.979 | $40.03 | 6h ago |
 Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes | buy | 31.98 | $0.116 | $3.71 | 7h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 22.51 | $0.760 | $17.11 | 8h ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 9.56 | $0.860 | $8.22 | 8h ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 30.26 | $0.985 | $29.81 | 9h ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 30.14 | $0.984 | $29.66 | 9h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 159.52 | $0.930 | $148.35 | 10h ago |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 24.91 | $0.700 | $17.43 | 10h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.700 | $7.44 | 13h ago |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 8.22 | $0.833 | $6.85 | 14h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 81.4 | $0.740 | $60.24 | 14h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 388.71 | $0.870 | $338.18 | 14h ago |
 Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.540 | $5.29 | 15h ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.824 | $1.85 | 15h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 388.72 | $0.880 | $342.07 | 15h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 388.72 | $0.880 | $342.07 | 15h ago |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 9.44 | $0.850 | $8.02 | 16h ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 24.74 | $0.686 | $16.97 | 17h ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 12.07 | $0.870 | $10.5 | 17h ago |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.860 | $4.31 | 17h ago |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 5.34 | $0.920 | $4.91 | 17h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 5.4 | $0.890 | $4.81 | 18h ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 8.64 | $0.890 | $7.69 | 18h ago |
 Will Adama Barrow win the 2026 Gambian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.15 | $0.800 | $11.32 | 20h ago |
 Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 21.03 | $0.980 | $20.61 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.410 | $2.25 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 18.41 | $0.370 | $6.81 | 21h ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 32.42 | $0.952 | $30.86 | 21h ago |
 Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Yes | sell | 7.41 | $0.330 | $2.45 | 22h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 125.03 | $0.250 | $31.26 | 22h ago |
 Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 6.2 | $0.900 | $5.58 | 23h ago |
 Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.88 | $0.240 | $1.89 | 23h ago |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | 1d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 95.08 | $0.620 | $58.95 | 1d ago |