Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 280.14 | $0.083 | $52.53 | +$29.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 306.87 | $0.134 | $41.12 | Aug 4, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 173.8 |
| $0.250 |
| $51.27 |
| +$7.82 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 54.99 | $0.545 | $45.92 | +$15.93 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 343.36 | $0.058 | $45.5 | +$25.5 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 187.5 | $0.160 | $45.09 | +$15.09 |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 43.92 | $0.910 | $41.5 | +$1.54 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 47.87 | $0.609 | $40.71 | +$11.55 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 41.65 | $0.815 | $40.38 | +$6.45 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 44.92 | $0.665 | $38.41 | +$8.52 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 43.32 | $0.614 | $37.47 | +$10.88 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 38.15 | $0.786 | $35.67 | +$5.68 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 36.87 | $0.813 | $33.92 | +$3.93 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 35.9 | $0.557 | $33.4 | +$13.41 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 44.76 | $0.650 | $33.12 | +$4.03 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 88.49 | $0.113 | $33.01 | +$23.01 |
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | Yes | 126.56 | $0.064 | $32.34 | +$24.24 |
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 37.44 | $0.267 | $32.33 | +$22.33 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 38.24 | $0.514 | $31.8 | +$12.14 |
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 32.28 | $0.928 | $31.7 | +$1.75 |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 33.33 | $0.300 | $30.83 | +$20.83 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 32.4 | $0.840 | $30.62 | +$3.4 |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 31.25 | $0.320 | $29.84 | +$19.84 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 34.48 | $0.575 | $29.83 | +$10 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 31.24 | $0.640 | $29.21 | +$9.22 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 49.26 | $0.203 | $28.3 | +$18.3 |
| sell |
| 50.52 |
| $0.850 |
| $42.94 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 58.8 | $0.860 | $50.57 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 52.63 | $0.130 | $6.84 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.29 | $0.530 | $5.98 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No | buy | 10.52 | $0.950 | $9.99 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 14.89 | $0.470 | $7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 12.73 | $0.550 | $7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 19.6 | $0.510 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 20.4 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?No | buy | 31.57 | $0.190 | $6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?No | buy | 15.94 | $0.627 | $9.99 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 11.62 | $0.860 | $9.99 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?No | buy | 15.89 | $0.629 | $9.99 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 7.93 | $0.756 | $6 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No | buy | 17.39 | $0.460 | $8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 49.21 | $0.160 | $7.87 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.840 | $6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 45.08 | $0.140 | $6.31 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.74 | $0.400 | $8.3 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 142.85 | $0.070 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 11.6 | $0.862 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 43.47 | $0.230 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.66 | $0.060 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 84.72 | $0.072 | $6.1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 17.85 | $0.560 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jul 23, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 12.39 | $0.807 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 10.43 | $0.957 | $9.98 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.959 | $9.99 | Jul 20, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.930 | $9.79 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 9.57 | $0.958 | $9.17 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.958 | $9.99 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?No | buy | 8.42 | $0.904 | $7.61 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 6.48 | $0.962 | $6.23 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 6.48 | $0.962 | $6.23 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Stripe IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 130.18 | $0.053 | $6.9 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.86 | $0.150 | $1.78 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.270 | $333 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No | buy | 7.52 | $0.930 | $6.99 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.879 | $4.99 | Jul 15, 2026 |