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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 847.46 | $0.590 | $597.46 | +$97.46 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?No | buy | 70 | $0.790 | $55.3 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 592.48 |
| $0.776 |
| $550.12 |
| +$90.12 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 549.45 | $0.910 | $545.33 | +$45.33 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 544.67 | $0.918 | $509.27 | +$9.27 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 529.87 | $0.755 | $490.13 | +$90.13 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 502.82 | $0.871 | $483.46 | +$45.74 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 500.52 | $0.879 | $462.98 | +$22.98 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 440.25 | $0.943 | $416.04 | +$1.04 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 416.23 | $0.961 | $416.02 | +$16.03 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 435.98 | $0.917 | $412 | +$12 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 428.57 | $0.700 | $400.71 | +$100.71 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 408.46 | $0.857 | $381.91 | +$31.91 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026? | No | 383.99 | $0.940 | $366.71 | +$5.76 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | No | 368.42 | $0.950 | $337.11 | -$12.89 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 370.8 | $0.870 | $322.6 | +$0 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | No | 315.79 | $0.950 | $303.16 | +$3.16 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | No | 300 | $0.970 | $293.1 | +$2.1 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 316.54 | $0.758 | $292.8 | +$52.8 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.860 | $289.95 | +$31.95 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.850 | $280.5 | +$25.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 298.51 | $0.670 | $255.22 | +$55.22 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | No | 257.2 | $0.972 | $245.24 | -$4.76 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 253.16 | $0.790 | $203.8 | +$3.8 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in September? | No | 222.22 | $0.900 | $202.22 | +$2.22 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 215.16 | $0.929 | $196.87 | -$3.13 |
| buy |
| 256.02 |
| $0.391 |
| $100 |
| 1d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in September?No | buy | 222.22 | $0.900 | $200 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?No | buy | 257.2 | $0.972 | $250 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September?No | buy | 315.79 | $0.950 | $300 | 1d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.170 | $100 | 1d ago |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | buy | 215.16 | $0.930 | $200 | 1d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 253.16 | $0.790 | $200 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 300 | $0.970 | $291 | 1d ago |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | 1d ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 219.24 | $0.228 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 64 | $0.982 | $62.85 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 220 | $0.940 | $206.8 | 1d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 163.99 | $0.940 | $154.15 | 1d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | 5d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No | buy | 368.42 | $0.950 | $350 | 5d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 167.22 | $0.108 | $18.05 | 14d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 95 | $0.105 | $9.98 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 32.22 | $0.100 | $3.22 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 284 | $0.105 | $29.82 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.103 | $3.61 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 126.63 | $0.094 | $11.9 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 45.76 | $0.093 | $4.26 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.087 | $1.31 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 25.5 | $0.087 | $2.22 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | 15d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 370.8 | $0.870 | $322.6 | 16d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes | buy | 16.36 | $0.002 | $0.03 | 17d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes | buy | 871.89 | $0.077 | $67.14 | 18d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes | buy | 144 | $0.076 | $10.94 | 18d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes | buy | 115.99 | $0.076 | $8.82 | 18d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 225.56 | $0.665 | $150 | 18d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | 18d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 370.8 | $0.664 | $246.21 | 18d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.11 | $0.141 | $4.1 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?No | sell | 400 | $0.990 | $396 | 22d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.720 | $300 | 26d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 211.02 | $0.990 | $208.91 | 28d ago |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 227.27 | $0.880 | $200 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 416.23 | $0.961 | $400 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 439.56 | $0.910 | $400 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 230.4 | $0.434 | $100 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.420 | $100 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?No | buy | 185.92 | $0.960 | $178.48 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 430.13 | $0.952 | $409.48 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.021 | $4.22 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.041 | $8.3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 350.79 | $0.963 | $337.81 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?No | buy | 319.49 | $0.939 | $300 | Aug 10, 2026 |