Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 101.96 | $0.859 | $98.85 | +$11.22 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.997 | $34.9 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.902 |
| $46.6 |
| +$1.5 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 36 | $0.959 | $35.48 | +$0.95 |
 Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | No | 34.5 | $0.936 | $33.65 | +$1.36 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 32 | $0.920 | $31.28 | +$1.84 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 22 | $0.953 | $21.55 | +$0.58 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | No | 21 | $0.950 | $20.53 | +$0.58 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 21.08 | $0.900 | $20.12 | +$1.15 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | No | 19.81 | $0.978 | $19.44 | +$0.07 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 12.07 | $0.880 | $11.41 | +$0.78 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 17 | $0.450 | $8.46 | +$0.81 |
 Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? | $60 | 10.99 | $0.960 | $4.79 | -$5.76 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10 | $0.460 | $3.85 | -$0.75 |
| buy |
| 28.73 |
| $0.993 |
| $28.53 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.972 | $19.43 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No | buy | 14.5 | $0.958 | $13.89 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$60 | buy | 10.99 | $0.960 | $10.55 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.950 | $19.95 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 11.99 | $0.187 | $2.24 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.976 | $18.54 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 21.08 | $0.900 | $18.97 | May 22, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 22 | $0.968 | $21.3 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.160 | $5.6 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No | buy | 43 | $0.900 | $38.7 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.020 | $28 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.920 | $29.44 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.981 | $19.62 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No | buy | 19.81 | $0.978 | $19.37 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 149.08 | $0.016 | $2.34 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 51.96 | $0.830 | $43.13 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 12.07 | $0.880 | $10.62 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 129.53 | $0.990 | $128.23 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 36.94 | $0.935 | $34.54 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.946 | $23.65 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 33 | $0.992 | $32.74 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 70 | $0.995 | $69.65 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 30-60 years in prison?No | buy | 119 | $0.930 | $110.67 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 500.4 | $0.004 | $1.76 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.015 | $3.9 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 240.4 | $0.015 | $3.61 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 36 | $0.959 | $34.52 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 22 | $0.953 | $20.97 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.370 | $11.1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.945 | $28.35 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US bank failure by January 31?No | buy | 19 | $0.954 | $18.13 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 33 | $0.980 | $32.34 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Bikinis back on X by January 16?No | buy | 18 | $0.986 | $17.75 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.903 | $18.06 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.960 | $22.08 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.992 | $25.79 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.995 | $21.89 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.990 | $30.94 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 22.75 | $0.967 | $22 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 789 | $0.002 | $1.58 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 54.02 | $0.993 | $53.64 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 79.41 | $0.030 | $2.38 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.031 | $1.55 | Nov 16, 2025 |