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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | No | 149.99 | $0.924 | $146.39 | +$7.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.785 | $11.78 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 149.99 |
| $0.875 |
| $144.44 |
| +$13.16 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | 150 | $0.980 | $141.83 | -$5.17 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.813 | $133.12 | +$11.18 |
 Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat? | No | 132.8 | $0.945 | $132.07 | +$6.62 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 116.37 | $0.931 | $115.5 | +$7.12 |
 Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 122.82 | $0.954 | $115.27 | -$1.85 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | No | 140.09 | $0.709 | $107.24 | +$7.93 |
 Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100 | $0.932 | $99.45 | +$6.25 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | No | 101.12 | $0.901 | $98.79 | +$7.65 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | No | 109.69 | $0.974 | $85.01 | -$21.82 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 150 | $0.684 | $81.23 | -$21.38 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.899 | $49.95 | +$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.958 | $49.93 | +$2.03 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 50 | $0.960 | $49.55 | +$1.55 |
 Will the Republican Party win the LA-02 House seat? | No | 50 | $0.979 | $49.48 | +$0.53 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 50 | $0.948 | $48.83 | +$1.43 |
 Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.953 | $48.2 | +$0.55 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 50 | $0.971 | $47.68 | -$0.88 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | No | 81.99 | $0.944 | $47.23 | -$30.18 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 149.99 | $0.165 | $39.82 | +$15 |
 Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 37.76 | $0.969 | $37.65 | +$1.07 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | No | 36.75 | $0.955 | $32.61 | -$2.49 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 148.52 | $0.803 | $31.34 | -$87.88 |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.762 | $26.62 | -$87.67 |
| buy |
| 309.12 |
| $0.590 |
| $182.38 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 25.05 | $0.035 | $0.88 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?No | sell | 82 | $0.560 | $45.92 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.862 | $17.24 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?No | sell | 82.31 | $0.980 | $80.66 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on March 31?No | sell | 7 | $0.921 | $6.45 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.022 | $1.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?No | buy | 11.95 | $0.070 | $0.84 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Sofiivka by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.27 | $0.042 | $0.22 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?No | sell | 18.89 | $0.971 | $18.35 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?No | buy | 9.87 | $0.071 | $0.7 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?No | buy | 20 | $0.040 | $0.8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on March 30?No | sell | 11.74 | $0.938 | $11.01 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.042 | $2.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 BitBoy convicted?No | sell | 32.67 | $0.922 | $30.12 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | sell | 5.12 | $0.975 | $4.99 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| BitBoy convicted?No | sell | 5 | $0.912 | $4.56 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on March 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | sell | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No | buy | 21.7 | $0.984 | $21.35 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.982 | $49.1 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?No | sell | 20.84 | $0.656 | $13.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| BitBoy convicted?No | buy | 50 | $0.912 | $45.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.985 | $49.25 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| BitBoy convicted?No | sell | 15 | $0.912 | $13.68 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on March 30?No | sell | 45 | $0.991 | $44.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes | buy | 36.96 | $0.049 | $1.81 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No | buy | 5 | $0.924 | $4.62 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on March 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.902 | $28.85 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on March 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.896 | $34.04 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on March 30?No | sell | 14.89 | $0.968 | $14.42 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on March 30?No | buy | 46.1 | $0.945 | $43.56 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?No | buy | 41 | $0.973 | $39.89 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 30?No | sell | 15.01 | $0.972 | $14.59 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?No | sell | 80.29 | $0.987 | $79.25 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 30?No | buy | 16.7 | $0.972 | $16.23 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?No | sell | 23.42 | $0.709 | $16.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on March 30?No | sell | 69.83 | $0.915 | $63.92 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on March 30?No | buy | 42.78 | $0.880 | $37.65 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | sell | 21.85 | $0.168 | $3.67 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on March 30?No | sell | 10.77 | $0.985 | $10.61 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?No | buy | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 2?No | sell | 42 | $0.919 | $38.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on April 2?No | sell | 10.86 | $0.920 | $9.99 | Mar 30, 2026 |