Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 90.94 | $0.875 | $83.89 | +$4.31 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President by June 30?No | buy | 26 | $0.990 | $25.74 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 34 |
| $0.940 |
| $32.83 |
| +$0.87 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 32 | $0.965 | $31.41 | +$0.53 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 28 | $0.870 | $27.54 | +$3.18 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 43.9 | $0.663 | $12.95 | -$16.16 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 38 | $0.033 | $0.95 | -$0.3 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 249.98 | $0.010 | $0.37 | -$2.23 |
| buy |
| 486.81 |
| $0.004 |
| $1.95 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No | buy | 48 | $0.876 | $42.05 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No | buy | 42.94 | $0.874 | $37.53 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?No | buy | 6 | $0.993 | $5.96 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.983 | $22.61 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.620 | $15.5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 823.2 | $0.147 | $121.01 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.9 | $0.720 | $13.61 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.958 | $23.95 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 30.59 | $0.974 | $29.79 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 27.72 | $0.440 | $12.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.940 | $31.96 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 32 | $0.965 | $30.88 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?No | buy | 21.36 | $0.940 | $20.08 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.026 | $1.17 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 25.34 | $0.717 | $18.17 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.68 | $0.760 | $14.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 33 | $0.999 | $32.97 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.870 | $24.36 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 28.36 | $0.033 | $0.94 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 21.45 | $0.890 | $19.09 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.985 | $8.87 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.090 | $99.9 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 36.08 | $0.994 | $35.86 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Santa Tell Me - Ariana Grande be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 291.91 | $0.001 | $0.29 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 16 | $0.995 | $15.92 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.993 | $17.87 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?No | buy | 25 | $0.989 | $24.73 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.26 | $0.985 | $17 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?No | buy | 32.99 | $0.875 | $28.87 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2025?No | buy | 18.24 | $0.987 | $18 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?No | buy | 26.37 | $0.986 | $26 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.983 | $24.58 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?No | buy | 17.22 | $0.987 | $17 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Oh Se-hoon in jail by November 30?No | buy | 69.51 | $0.999 | $69.44 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Lee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?No | buy | 51.98 | $0.979 | $50.89 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.040 | $1.8 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.992 | $21.82 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 33.28 | $0.080 | $2.66 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?No | buy | 22 | $0.967 | $21.27 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.59 | $0.300 | $4.38 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?Yes | buy | 26.9 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10.13 | $0.987 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.439 | $8.78 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | buy | 10.37 | $0.964 | $10 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18.05 | $0.942 | $17 | Oct 31, 2025 |