Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2K | $0.805 | $1.71K | +$99.01 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1K |
| $0.808 |
| $849.51 |
| +$41.06 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 750.01 | $0.700 | $551.26 | +$26.25 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.920 | $484 | +$24 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 423.21 | $0.821 | $394.43 | +$46.95 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 400 | $0.870 | $356 | +$8 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 399.18 | $0.887 | $353.28 | -$0.99 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 700 | $0.651 | $318.5 | -$137.5 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 350.01 | $0.830 | $299.26 | +$8.75 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 399.99 | $0.680 | $293.99 | +$22 |
 Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 300 | $0.920 | $279 | +$3 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 320 | $0.840 | $275.2 | +$6.4 |
 Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | No | 300 | $0.900 | $264.3 | -$5.7 |
 Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election? | Yes | 300 | $0.790 | $256.5 | +$19.5 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 600 | $0.733 | $255 | -$184.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 280 | $0.890 | $253.4 | +$4.2 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 299.94 | $0.687 | $247.45 | +$41.49 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | $0.920 | $233.75 | +$3.75 |
 Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? | Yes | 296.45 | $0.740 | $232.71 | +$13.34 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September? | No | 269.04 | $0.862 | $231.37 | -$0.41 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 300 | $0.740 | $217.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 386.66 | $0.584 | $202.99 | -$23 |
 Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 251 | $0.834 | $200.8 | -$8.51 |
| Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? | Yes | 215 | $0.805 | $193.61 | +$20.47 |
 Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 200.97 | $0.900 | $193.03 | +$12.16 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.779 |
| $3.9 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.729 | $80.24 | 5d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.900 | $150 | 6d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 399.99 | $0.680 | $271.99 | 6d ago |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 393.66 | $0.870 | $342.48 | 7d ago |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | 9d ago |
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | 9d ago |
 Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | 11d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?No | buy | 73.42 | $0.860 | $63.14 | 13d ago |
 Trump meets with Putin by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.949 | $94.86 | 14d ago |
| Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.810 | $41.31 | 16d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | 16d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.995 | $198.99 | 18d ago |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 150 | $0.646 | $96.9 | 20d ago |
| Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes | buy | 296.45 | $0.740 | $219.37 | 24d ago |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.870 | $13.05 | 24d ago |
 Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 20.24 | $0.770 | $15.58 | 24d ago |
| Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | 24d ago |
 Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | 25d ago |
| Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | 25d ago |
| Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.860 | $103.2 | 25d ago |
| Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | 25d ago |
| Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | 25d ago |
 Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes | buy | 113.88 | $0.878 | $100 | 25d ago |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | 25d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 150 | $0.078 | $11.7 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 179.99 | $0.890 | $160.19 | 26d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | 29d ago |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.970 | $194 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.900 | $270 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 200 | $0.995 | $199 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.730 | $146 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.765 | $76.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 260.41 | $0.564 | $146.87 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.830 | $166 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.872 | $43.6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 107.11 | $0.747 | $80 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.490 | $98 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.620 | $13.02 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?Yes | buy | 63.99 | $0.781 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.999 | $199.79 | Jul 28, 2026 |