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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 91.33 | $0.283 | $65.3 | +$39.47 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| No |
| 38.49 |
| $0.847 |
| $37.7 |
| +$5.1 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | No | 37 | $0.206 | $34.78 | +$27.14 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 204.32 | $0.250 | $15.32 | -$35.74 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.800 | $9.55 | +$1.55 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 107 | $0.130 | $5.89 | -$8.03 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 87 | $0.170 | $5.83 | -$8.96 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.780 | $4.84 | +$0.94 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 92.56 | $0.513 | $4.16 | -$43.3 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 3.29 | $0.860 | $3.13 | +$0.3 |
| Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 37.03 | $0.635 | $1.85 | -$21.66 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3 | $0.360 | $1.58 | +$0.5 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3 | $0.360 | $1.55 | +$0.47 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | Yes | 14.11 | $0.083 | $1.13 | -$0.04 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | Yes | 4 | $0.500 | $0.9 | -$1.1 |
 Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.840 | $0.72 | -$3.48 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 114 | $0.160 | $0.29 | -$17.91 |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? | No | 11 | $0.100 | $0.24 | -$0.86 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%? | Yes | 5 | $0.050 | $0.12 | -$0.13 |
Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No| sell |
| 70 |
| $0.997 |
| $69.79 |
| Jan 5, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.43K | $0.240 | $582.1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.62K | $0.253 | $663.73 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.760 | $25.84 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?No | buy | 16.9 | $0.400 | $6.76 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.290 | $4.93 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.200 | $3.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.200 | $3.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.250 | $4.25 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.250 | $4.25 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.210 | $3.57 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.250 | $4.25 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.41 | $0.240 | $2.98 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 50 | $0.816 | $40.82 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 31 | $0.400 | $12.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks be the number 1 seed in the NFC?No | buy | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.510 | $1.53 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.520 | $1.56 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks be the number 1 seed in the NFC?No | buy | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks be the number 1 seed in the NFC?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.378 | $1.14 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.520 | $1.56 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?No | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.190 | $1.14 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.230 | $1.38 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 5.22 | $0.230 | $1.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.219 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12 | $0.200 | $2.4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.580 | $4.06 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7 | $0.200 | $1.4 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.200 | $1.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.200 | $1.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 8.21 | $0.185 | $1.52 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | buy | 8.18 | $0.137 | $1.12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.185 | $1.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.200 | $1.2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Dec 28, 2025 |