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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 104.99 | $0.958 | $100.95 | +$0.41 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.640 | $11.52 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 105 |
| $0.960 |
| $100.75 |
| -$0.06 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 105 | $0.934 | $99.22 | +$1.17 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? | No | 105 | $0.928 | $98.6 | +$1.1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 105 | $0.930 | $98.18 | +$0.53 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 105 | $0.930 | $98.18 | +$0.57 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.966 | $95.7 | -$0.9 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $93 | +$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.921 | $92 | -$0.1 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 100 | $0.918 | $91.5 | -$0.35 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 105 | $0.799 | $89.93 | +$6.03 |
 Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | No | 93.09 | $0.967 | $88.16 | -$1.86 |
 StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $86.5 | -$2.5 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 103.46 | $0.840 | $86.39 | -$0.56 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 89.45 | $0.943 | $83.01 | -$1.34 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.850 | $81.5 | -$3.5 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 97.75 | $0.863 | $80.4 | -$3.96 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.710 | $76.5 | +$5.5 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 105 | $0.608 | $65.36 | +$1.51 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 59.76 | $0.930 | $55.76 | +$0.19 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 87 | $0.650 | $55.25 | -$1.3 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 58.83 | $0.931 | $55.01 | +$0.24 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.510 | $54.5 | +$3.5 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 55.5 | $0.908 | $52.17 | +$1.75 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 103.03 | $0.500 | $52.03 | +$0.52 |
| sell |
| 14.14 |
| $0.074 |
| $1.05 |
| 5h ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.420 | $5.46 | 13h ago |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.037 | $3.7 | 17h ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | 20h ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | 1d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.961 | $96.2 | 1d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.039 | $3.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.410 | $41 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | sell | 12.3 | $0.410 | $5.04 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | 1d ago |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100.11 | $0.930 | $93.1 | 2d ago |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.470 | $5.64 | 2d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100.11 | $0.929 | $93 | 2d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 5.81 | $0.071 | $0.41 | 2d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 2d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | 2d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.959 | $95.9 | 2d ago |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | sell | 63.3 | $0.945 | $59.82 | 2d ago |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 15.63 | $0.690 | $10.78 | 2d ago |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | 2d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.510 | $51 | 2d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | 2d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 10.42 | $0.500 | $5.21 | 2d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | 2d ago |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 31.12 | $0.690 | $21.47 | 3d ago |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | sell | 48.25 | $0.690 | $33.29 | 3d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.930 | $20.46 | 3d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | 3d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 95 | $0.470 | $44.65 | 3d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.36 | $0.040 | $0.21 | 4d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 4d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 41.88 | $0.096 | $4.02 | 4d ago |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 40.2 | $0.905 | $36.37 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 26.28 | $0.330 | $8.67 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.330 | $16.17 | 4d ago |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | 4d ago |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | 4d ago |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | sell | 85.89 | $0.060 | $5.15 | 4d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 14.99 | $0.220 | $3.3 | 5d ago |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 5d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | 5d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 28.12 | $0.071 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 45.16 | $0.092 | $4.15 | 6d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.098 | $4.9 | 6d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | 8d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | 8d ago |