Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 3.23 | $0.310 | $2.76 | +$1.76 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.940 | $1.35 | May 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.59 |
| $0.630 |
| $1.48 |
| +$0.48 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | No | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 2.12 |
| $0.670 |
| $1.42 |
| May 14, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by January 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31?No | buy | 71.14 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Megaquake by January 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |