Latest trade
Dec 11, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:55 AM UTC.
ottik is down $397.5 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 39 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-06-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 11, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:55 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Dec 11, 2025 UTC to Dec 11, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 27.03 | $0.037 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2025Yes | buy | 741.22 | $0.302 | $223.79 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
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Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-06-04 17:51 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:55 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:55 UTC
polymarket positions
40 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-06-04 17:51 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $970.77 and losing ones cost $1.01K across 39 settled positions. 48.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $371.76 on “Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?” (No); the largest loss, $462.82 on “Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 11 Dec 2025. It has traded 94 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.27 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 137.38 |
| $0.007 |
| $1 |
| Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?Yes | buy | 30.29 | $0.033 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?Yes | buy | 66.81 | $0.015 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?Yes | buy | 93.6 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?Yes | buy | 72.53 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Apple release AirTag 2 this year?Yes | buy | 24.68 | $0.041 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 25.3 | $0.040 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 155.17 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?Yes | buy | 145.11 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
X relaunches Vine in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 33.42 | $0.030 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
X relaunches Vine in 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.71 | $0.051 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Atlas global browser market share 3%+ on December 31?Yes | buy | 88.69 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q4 2025Yes | buy | 72.13 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?Yes | buy | 74.64 | $0.013 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Brian Armstrong say "Stablecoin" 2+ times at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | buy | 17.79 | $0.056 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Wealthfront IPO before 2027?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 117.76 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?Yes | buy | 145.13 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025?Yes | buy | 88.86 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Grok 5 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Yes | buy | 83.38 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?Yes | buy | 222.64 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Samsung release a trifold phone by January 31?No | buy | 85.74 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31?No | buy | 116.86 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.027 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.92 | $0.077 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
GTA VI released in 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.157 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 34.17 | $0.029 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Amazon (AMZN) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 20.49 | $0.049 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?Yes | buy | 98.31 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.