Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 55% on 2 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 55% on 2 Mar 2025 and the low 0.4% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 30.5% on 22 Sep 2025. $306.9K traded over the market's life.
131 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 307 points · 2 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2025 | 55.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mal9000 | Yes | 929.87 |
| BananaBronco | No | 633.61 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 565 |
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984 This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date. The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-fully-reusable-in-2025
| nicnic | Yes | 421.95 |
| littlekahuna | Yes | 314.18 |
| morphOS0309 | Yes | 312.5 |
| lissartter | Yes | 303.43 |
| Pesky-Graffiti | Yes | 238.1 |
| Pimenteur | No | 238.1 |
| JoseStrickland4151 | Yes | 233 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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