Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 16 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 140 daily closes on record from 16 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 10.7% on 20 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points up, to 10.7% on 20 Oct 2025. $23.77K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 140 points, 16 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | 8.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| acal | Yes | 3.62K |
| Aplua | Yes | 799.95 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 330 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that the Chrome web browser will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with OpenAI by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Google/Alphabet will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition or merger actually occurs. Partnerships, integrations, licensing deals, or other forms of collaboration between Chrome and OpenAI that do not constitute an acquisition or merger will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google/Alphabet, or OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-openai-acquire-chrome-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 254 |
| joeburger | Yes | 229.3 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 225.98 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| ThePureGenius | Yes | 166.67 |
| ottik | Yes | 145.13 |
| alldebet | No | 113.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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