Latest trade
Jan 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:43 PM UTC.
Analytics
ThePureGenius is down $921.27 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 14 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-12 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 30, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 6:43 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 48 markets; 98.0% were buys. They run from Sep 2, 2025 UTC to Jan 30, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 96.41 | $0.207 | $5.78 | -$14.22 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.41 | $0.207 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-12 05:21 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 18:43 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 18:43 UTC
polymarket positions
15 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-12 05:21 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2.11K and losing ones cost $122.13 across 14 settled positions. 78.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.22K on “Ethereum all time high before October?” (Yes); the largest loss, $118.08 on “Fartcoin all time high before August?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 30 Jan 2026. It has traded 115 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.27 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 92.55 |
| $0.108 |
| $3.56 |
| -$6.44 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 72.14 | $0.139 | $2.85 | -$7.15 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 84.61 | $0.118 | $2.07 | -$7.93 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.050 |
| $10 |
| Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $210 in December?Yes | buy | 350.34 | $0.029 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes | buy | 214.5 | $0.233 | $50 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.55 | $0.108 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 72.14 | $0.139 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
 Pakistan strikes Kabul by December 31?Yes | buy | 95.14 | $0.105 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
 USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 63.16 | $0.158 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?Yes | buy | 84.61 | $0.118 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 D4vd arrested by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.084 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 109.22 | $0.092 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.008 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?Yes | buy | 76.15 | $0.131 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 UTC |
 Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 191 | $0.963 | $183.93 | Oct 24, 2025 UTC |
 Evidence Elon Musk went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?Yes | buy | 224.01 | $0.049 | $11 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
 Token Launch Party ParlayYes | buy | 37.93 | $0.026 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?Yes | buy | 93.01 | $0.118 | $11 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
 JB Pritzker arrested by December 31?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.048 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?Yes | buy | 137.5 | $0.080 | $11 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will all Love Is Blind S9 finale couples get married?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
 Steph Curry divorce by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.28 | $0.087 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump visit Israel again by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 111.18 | $0.135 | $15 | Oct 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump visit Gaza by Dec 31?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Oct 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 424.5 | $0.012 | $5 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.015 | $5 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.005 | $5 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.021 | $15 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 601.38 | $0.025 | $15 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
 Dogecoin all time high before 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 54.89 | $0.273 | $15 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 September 29-October 5?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.080 | $15 | Oct 2, 2025 UTC |
| Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 426.06 | $0.070 | $30 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 438.68 | $0.023 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 508.24 | $0.020 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.060 | $50 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Xi visit the US by December 31?Yes | buy | 339.32 | $0.088 | $30 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
 Trump x Modi talk by September 5?Yes | buy | 66.1 | $0.303 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 UTC |
 Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 UTC |
 Sabrina Carpenter holds 3 top 10 spots on Billboard Hot 100 for week of September 13th?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 UTC |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Sep 2, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.