Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 36% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 154 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 2 Jun 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36% on 5 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 18% on 6 Dec 2025. $54.94K traded over the market's life.
135 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 2:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 154 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 2 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 36.0% |
| 2 Jun 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wowies | Yes | 706.56 |
| Disloyal-Pub | Yes | 702.18 |
| LarsLindbergPol | Yes | 609.84 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms. If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-hurricane-form-by-may-31
| Yes |
| 469.65 |
| kilvin | Yes | 349.86 |
| 1000soon | Yes | 338.83 |
| canbane | Yes | 295.04 |
| hammerstak | Yes | 255.46 |
| LUCROU | Yes | 223.24 |
| ThePureGenius | Yes | 214.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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