Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 5 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 171 daily closes on record from 5 Dec 2025 to 1 Jun 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 5 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 8% on 6 Dec 2025. $41.55K traded over the market's life.
91 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 6:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 171 points, 5 Dec 2025 – 1 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Salty-Face | Yes | 1K |
| Brave-Actor | Yes | 1K |
| JohnGalt222 | Yes | 921.36 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States within this market's timeframe, between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET as described in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If no tropical systems make landfall in the conterminous United States at hurricane status within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve to "No" after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met. For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL , and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall. This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-hurricane-make-landfall-in-the-us-by-may-31
| MrDavidplayzz | Yes | 333.33 |
| Clean-Convert | Yes | 294.12 |
| szarruk | Yes | 169.99 |
| Gabidouche | Yes | 150 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Smart-Sprinkles | Yes | 147.94 |
| EENC246 | Yes | 135.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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