Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 19 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2025 to 30 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 19 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 2.1% on 20 Sep 2025. $115.6K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 31, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 19 Sep 2025 – 30 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2025 | 50.5% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | 3.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 52.37K |
| llllyyyyy1111 | Yes | 20.31K |
| ggggdd | Yes | 13.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2025 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/m_ref/mref240731a.pdf). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2025 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmdeci/state_2025/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-japan-decision-in-october
| Yes |
| 6.34K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 3.51K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 1.48K |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 1.16K |
| Prestigious-Logistics | Yes | 1K |
| qingfengliangxiu | Yes | 792.29 |
| rcbcigo | Yes | 725.58 |
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