Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88%. Yes opened at 64% on 28 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2025 to 16 Sep 2025, the highest close was 91% on 4 Sep 2025 and the lowest 64% on 28 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 88.5% on 29 Aug 2025. $340.77K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 18, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 28 Aug 2025 – 16 Sep 2025, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | 64.0% |
| 16 Sep 2025 | 88.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dbrain | No | 69.8K |
| LadyGunhee-562 | No | 10.94K |
| kimsc | No | 6.52K |
| -Guapo-- | No | 3.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kweon Seong-dong spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between August 27 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kweon Seong-dong spends time in custody in a jail or prison. Temporary holding at a facility, such as the Seoul Detention Center, while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant, does not qualify. However, non-temporary detention initiated by a court-ordered warrant will count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kweon-seong-dong-in-jail-by-october-31
| juuun | No | 2.17K |
| dreambreaker16 | No | 1.64K |
| killiann | No | 1.45K |
| KoreaConservative | No | 1.11K |
| gotoheaven | No | 1.08K |
| lock3 | No | 1K |
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