
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 20 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 105 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 9.6% on 14 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 4.5% on 21 Sep 2025. $123.17K traded over the market's life.
92 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 105 points, 20 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | 9.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lean-Crime | Yes | 3.38K |
| bigbetzz | Yes | 2.77K |
| Talkative-Backdrop | Yes | 899.82 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping visits the U.S. by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xi-visit-the-us-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 466.81 |
| Proud-Warmth | Yes | 401.05 |
| ThePureGenius | Yes | 339.32 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 329.98 |
| nt77 | Yes | 303.05 |
| kamarat | Yes | 299.99 |
| Bitfang42 | Yes | 298.31 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page