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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | Yes | 500 | $0.010 | $0.25 | -$4.75 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 105.01 | $0.009 | $0.99 | 27d ago |
Trump out as President by July 31?Yes| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.010 |
| $5 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes | buy | 488.86 | $0.009 | $4.62 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.005 | $1.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.006 | $1.7 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.075 | $6.75 | May 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.061 | $30.65 | May 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 13.16 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 82.95 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.003 | $0.32 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?Yes | sell | 230.93 | $0.004 | $0.91 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 260.45 | $0.001 | $0.26 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 299.48 | $0.020 | $5.99 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.004 | $1.3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.008 | $2.31 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.001 | $0.3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.001 | $0.35 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 363.9 | $0.001 | $0.36 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.001 | $0.4 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.003 | $1.33 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 366 | $0.002 | $0.73 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes | sell | 400.01 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 432.04 | $0.009 | $3.89 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes | sell | 499.97 | $0.009 | $4.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.005 | $2.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.008 | $4 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.010 | $4.86 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.023 | $11.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.008 | $4 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.008 | $4 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.009 | $4.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |